Forecasting Accuracy of In-Progress Activity Duration and Cost Estimates [PDF]
When a project activity has already started, tracking information such as percent complete and current activity duration and cost can be easily retrieved. This information can be used to update the project schedule to anticipate the eventual project duration and cost more precisely.
Pablo Ballesteros-Pérez +1 more
exaly +4 more sources
Graph-Enhanced Management-Context-Aware Multi-Step Forecasting of Hourly Sensor-Derived Physiological and Behavioral Indicators in Hu Sheep [PDF]
Forecasting sensor-derived animal-state indicators can provide forward-looking information for precision sheep farming, but sheep responses are shaped by their barn environment, previous state, and routine operations.
Maoxu Wang, Zhixin Gu
doaj +2 more sources
Forecasting the Remaining Duration of an Ongoing Solar Flare [PDF]
The solar X‐ray irradiance is significantly heightened during the course of a solar flare, which can cause radio blackouts due to ionization of the atoms in the ionosphere.
Jeffrey W. Reep, Will T. Barnes
doaj +4 more sources
Forecasting project duration by Earned Duration Management and Risk Management [PDF]
Being observed frequently that projects cannot achieve to their plan duration and their budget. Utilizing retrospective method is one of the reasons for this problem.
Akbar Alamtabriz +2 more
doaj +2 more sources
Forecasting the duration of short‐term deflation episodes [PDF]
AbstractThe paper proposes a simulation‐based approach to multistep probabilistic forecasting, applied for predicting the probability and duration of negative inflation. The essence of this approach is in counting runs simulated from a multivariate distribution representing the probabilistic forecasts, which enters the negative inflation regime.
Wojciech W Charemza, Svetlana Makarova
exaly +4 more sources
Residual LSTM-based short duration forecasting of polarization current for effective assessment of transformers insulation [PDF]
The empirical application of polarization and depolarization current (PDC) measurement of transformers facilitates the extraction of critical insulation-sensitive parameters.
Aniket Vatsa +4 more
doaj +2 more sources
Enhanced ESM approach for duration forecasting in delayed projects
Delays occur commonly for construction projects. How to control projects before delays are desired by project managers. The Earned schedule method (ESM), a derivative of the earned value management method, forecasts project durations effectively ...
Jyh-Bin Yang, Yu-Hsin Chen
doaj +2 more sources
Predicting project duration and cost, and selecting the best action plan using statistical methods for earned value management [PDF]
Nowadays, with the increasing number of projects in organizations, managers are enthusiastic about managing and controlling projects, and as projects become more complex and cause unforeseen risks, project management becomes even more critical. Using the
Sajad Soltan, Maryam Ashrafi
doaj +1 more source
Modeling and Forecasting Persistent Financial Durations [PDF]
This paper introduces the Markov-Switching Multifractal Duration (MSMD) model by adapting the MSM stochastic volatility model of Calvet and Fisher (2004) to the duration setting. Although the MSMD process is exponential $β$-mixing as we show in the paper, it is capable of generating highly persistent autocorrelation.
Filip Žikeš +2 more
openaire +4 more sources
Urban flood forecasting using a hybrid modeling approach based on a deep learning technique
Climate change is contributing to the increasing frequency and severity of flooding worldwide. Therefore, forecasting and preparing for floods while considering extreme climate conditions are essential for decision-makers to prevent and manage disasters.
Hyeontae Moon +2 more
doaj +1 more source

