Results 131 to 140 of about 209 (193)

Evaluating anisotropy‐based Monin–Obukhov similarity theory over canopies and complex terrain

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study shows that an anisotropy‐based generalization of Monin–Obukhov surface‐layer scaling (SC23) applies readily across a wide range of atmospheric conditions with variable terrain, canopies, and land‐cover complexity. This work focuses on the scaling of velocity variances for 7 years at the 47 sites in the National Ecological Observation Network
Tyler S. Waterman, Ivana Stiperski, Nathaniel Chaney, Marc Calaf   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty quantification in weather and climate models

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties over time on weather and climate time‐scales, estimated through ensembles that sample aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty using Bayesian neural networks for parameterisations in the Lorenz 1996 model. The spread shows the 16th and 84th percentiles.
Laura A. Mansfield, Hannah M. Christensen   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

How interference between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the tropical Indo‐Pacific convection modulates wave trains along the subtropical jet: Impacts on the Asian winter climate

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study reveals that the combined effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and anomalous Indo‐Pacific Walker circulation on the excitation of the wave train along the wintertime subtropical jet strongly depend on their phase combination. Their impacts interfere constructively or destructively over South Asia, leading to notable differences in
Yuki Asazuma, Masaya Kuramochi, Hiroaki Ueda   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Ensemble reliability and the signal‐to‐noise paradox in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We derive a general expression for the ratio of predictable components (RPC) in terms of correlation, spread–error ratio, and total variance ratio. Physical constraints on the admissible solutions (i.e., real‐valued and non‐negative variances) provide a mechanism to identify statistically paradoxical sample combinations of reliability and correlation ...
Christopher D. Roberts, Frederic Vitart
wiley   +1 more source

The role of mesoscale weather effects in simulating pyroconvection: A case study of the Santa Coloma de Queralt wildfire

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This large‐eddy simulation study on pyroconvection shows that the added value from resolving the mesoscale explicitly is found in the timing of pyrocumulus formation and circulation changes. The circulation of the convective plume itself is not substantially different between the simulations. Abstract Extreme wildfire events are characterised by strong
Koen van der Aa, Bernard Postema, Chiel van Heerwaarden, Tristan Roelofs, Harm Jonker   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Review of Carolyne Larrington, Judy Quinn & Brittany Schorn (red.), A Handbook to Eddic Poetry: Myths and Legends of Early Scandinavia. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press 2016. xii + 413 s

Scripta Islandica, 2017
Lars Lönnroth
doaj  

Numerical simulation and physical understanding of a locally initiated sea fog event over the eastern Yellow Sea with a transition of air–sea temperature difference

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Unexpected sea fog in the west coast of South Korea had a huge impact on the transportations in the Seoul–Incheon metropolitan area. We reproduced successfully the formation and evolution of a sea event with a transition of air–sea temperature difference using the Weather Research and Forecasting model.
Jeonghoe Kim, Jung‐Hoon Kim, Clive E. Dorman, Harindra J. S. Fernando   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

The evaluation of boundary‐layer turbulence in high‐resolution numerical weather prediction simulations using Doppler lidar

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A new method compares both kilometer and sub‐kilometre weather model simulations with Doppler lidar observations to assess the representation of boundary‐layer turbulence. While bulk boundary‐layer properties are well represented, vertical velocity variance is strongly underestimated in both simulations.
Natalie J. Harvey, Helen F. Dacre, Kirsty E. Hanley, Humphrey W. Lean, Christopher J. Walden, Michael Baidu, Steven Boeing, Andrew N. Ross   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Scaling turbulence drives the general circulation

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The NOAA Gulfstream SP4, which deployed the GPS dropsondes over the NE Pacific Ocean as part of the Winter Storms Project during the January–March periods of 2004, 2005 and 2006. Abstract Statistical multifractal analysis of airborne and dropsonde observations is used to show that persistence of velocity after molecular collisions breaks the continuous
Adrian F. Tuck
wiley   +1 more source

New insights into convection‐permitting model simulations from a ZDR$$ {\boldsymbol{Z}}_{\mathbf{DR}} $$ diagnostic for raindrops

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A polarimetric radar forward operator to simulate differential reflectivity (ZDR$$ {Z}_{\mathrm{DR}} $$) from rain was developed to evaluate simulated storms in the Met Office Unified Model (MetUM) for two case days of the Wessex Convection Experiment (WesCon) field campaign. Vertical columns of ZDR$$ {Z}_{\mathrm{DR}} $$, indicative of strong updrafts,
Chun Hay Brian Lo, Thorwald H. M. Stein, Christopher D. Westbrook, Paul R. Field, Kalli Furtado, Robert W. Scovell, Jonathan M. Wilkinson, Timothy Darlington, Humphrey W. Lean, Ryan R. Neely III, Christopher J. Walden   +10 more
wiley   +1 more source