Results 1 to 10 of about 67 (66)
Exchange Rate Predictability [PDF]
The main goal of this article is to provide an answer to the question: does anything forecast exchange rates, and if so, which variables? It is well known that exchange rate fluctuations are very difficult to predict using economic models, and that a random walk forecasts exchange rates better than any economic model (the Meese and Rogoff puzzle ...
Barbara Rossi, Barbara Rossi
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Exchange Rates and Fundamentals [PDF]
We show analytically that in a rational expectations present-value model, an asset price manifests near–random walk behavior if fundamentals are I(1) and the factor for discounting future fundamentals is near one. We argue that this result helps explain the well-known puzzle that fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation,
Charles Engel, Kenneth D. West
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Sanctions and the Exchange Rate
AbstractStabilising the exchange rate allows the Russian government to anchor inflation expectations and support consumption but comes at the cost of the financial repression of domestic savers.
Itskhoki, Oleg, Mukhin, Dmitry
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Exchange rate pass-through, exchange rate volatility, and exchange rate disconnect [PDF]
Abstract This paper explores the hypothesis that high volatility of real and nominal exchange rates may be due to the fact that local currency pricing eliminates the pass-through from changes in exchange rates to consumer prices. Exchange rates may be highly volatile because in a sense they have little effect on macroeconomic variables.
Charles Engel+3 more
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Exchange Rates and Wages [PDF]
Globalization exposes labor markets to international fluctuations. Using Current Population Survey data for the period 1976 through 2000, we show that exchange rate movements influence the wages of U.S. workers across manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries.
Linda S. Goldberg+3 more
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EXCHANGE RATE PROTECTION AND EXCHANGE RATE CONFLICT
OUR PURPOSE is to investigate in a simple model the consequences of the adoption of "exchange rate protection" by two countries trading with each other. Although very simplified and stylized in the present treatment, we believe that our model can throw light on some questions of practical importance. The present system of exchange rate setting has come
Bliss, Christopher, Joshi, Vijay R
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On Exchange Rate Regimes, Exchange Rate Fluctuations, and Fundamentals [PDF]
We develop a two-country, two-sector general equilibrium business cycle model with nominal rigidities featuring deviations from the law of one price. The paper shows that a model with these features can quantitatively account for the empirical fact that of the statistical properties of most macroeconomic variables, only the volatility of the real and ...
Luca Dedola, Sylvain Leduc
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Exchange Rate Dynamics and Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates [PDF]
The paper investigates if the most popular alternative to the purchasing parity power approach (PPP) to estimate equilibrium exchange rates, the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) influences exchange rate dynamics in the long run. For a large panel of industrialized and emerging countries and on the period 1982-2007, we detect the presence of
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EFFECT OF OVERSEAS DEBT AND INTEREST RATE RATE OF EXCHANGE RATE RATE (EXCHANGE RATE)
Perdagangan internasional melibatkan suatu negara dengan negara lain dan menjadikan negara-negara di dunia menjadi lebih terikat.Oleh karena itu, interaksi dengan dunia luar negeri merupakan hal yang tidak bisa dihindari oleh negara manapun, termasuk Indonesia.Memperlancar transaksi perdagangan internasional, penggunaan uang dalamperekonomian terbuka ...
Novita Denik Sulistyowati+1 more
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Exchange Rate Regimes and the Real Exchange Rate [PDF]
It is well established now that the (nominal) exchange rate regime has important implications for the behavior of real exchange rates. Two key stylized facts in this regard are that real exchange rate variability is greater under flexible exchange rates than under fixed exchange rates and that real and nominal exchange rate movements are positively ...
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