Improvement for exponential smoothing
Exponential smoothing methods have been employed since 1950s and they aremost popular and used methods in business and industry for forecasting. Howeverthere are two main problems about choosing the smoothing constant and startingvalue. In this thesis a new method is introduced for smoothing constant and startingvalue.
openaire +1 more source
An atomically precise platform was developed for investigating single‐molecule charge transport. This innovative platform enables the creation of highly uniform molecular devices using ruthenium‐based molecules. It reveals a significant enhancement in molecular conductance due to the metallic ruthenium center and a unique barrier‐lowering effect during
Jie Guo +15 more
wiley +1 more source
Time series prediction of under-five mortality rates for Nigeria: comparative analysis of artificial neural networks, Holt-Winters exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average models. [PDF]
Adeyinka DA, Muhajarine N.
europepmc +1 more source
The ER's continuous tubular network is maintained by ER‐shaping proteins whose mutation or dysregulation contributes to neurodegenerative diseases. Here, we show that ER morphology sets the speed of Ca2+ store replenishment between firing events. Disrupting ER continuity slows intra‐ER Ca2+ redistribution from extracellular refill (SOCE) sites, driving
Valentina Davi +13 more
wiley +1 more source
Modeling and forecasting Saudi banking stability using ARIMA and exponential smoothing technique. [PDF]
Alnajjar A, Assous HF, Al-Najjar H.
europepmc +1 more source
Printable Conductive Hydrogels for Electrochemical Biosensing and Soft Bioelectronic Interfaces
Flexible, conductive hydrogels that integrate printability, mechanical tunability, biocompatibility, and electronic performance remain challenging to achieve. Here, we develop 3D‐printable poly(ethylene glycol)–poly(pyrrole)‐ hydrogels with tissue‐like mechanics, high cytocompatibility, and robust electrochemical function.
Lukas Hein +6 more
wiley +1 more source
Enhancing Winters exponential smoothing: a novel approach with back-casting, Grey Wolf Optimization, and error tracking. [PDF]
Karakullukcu E.
europepmc +1 more source
Traction Force Microscopy for Viscoelastic Substrates: A Semi‐Analytical Method
A semi‐analytical viscoelastic traction force microscopy framework is introduced for quantifying time‐resolved cell tractions on flat finite‐thickness substrates. The method generalizes elastic traction force microscopy to Generalized Maxwell materials, identifies when elastic approximations remain valid and, when they do not, shows that inferred ...
Adrià Villacrosa‐Ribas +10 more
wiley +1 more source
The vector innovation structural time series framework: a simple approach to multivariate forecasting [PDF]
The vector innovation structural time series framework is proposed as a way of modelling a set of related time series. Like all multi-series approaches, the aim is to exploit potential inter-series dependencies to improve the fit and forecasts.
Rob J. Hyndman +2 more
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