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Gradients and subgradients of buffered failure probability [PDF]

open access: yesOperations Research Letters, 2021
Gradients and subgradients are central to optimization and sensitivity analysis of buffered failure probabilities. We furnish a characterization of subgradients based on subdifferential calculus in the case of finite probability distributions and, under additional assumptions, also a gradient expression for general distributions.
Johannes O. Royset, Ji-Eun Byun
openaire   +4 more sources

St. Petersburg Paradox and Failure Probability [PDF]

open access: yesPhysical Review Letters, 2020
The St. Petersburg paradox provides a simple paradigm for systems that show sensitivity to rare events. Here, we demonstrate a physical realization of this paradox using tensile fracture, experimentally verifying for six decades of spatial and temporal data and two different materials that the fracture force depends logarithmically on the length of the
Jake Fontana, Peter Palffy-Muhoray
openaire   +4 more sources

Depression mediates physical activity readiness and physical activity in patients with heart failure

open access: yesESC Heart Failure, 2021
Aims Although physical activity (PA) and exercise are essential for patients with heart failure (HF), adherence to the recommended guidelines is low. Not much is known about the mediating effect of HF patients' mental state with their readiness for PA ...
Pallav Deka   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Simplified modelling of the performance of concrete tunnels during fire and post-fire damage classification

open access: yesActa Polytechnica CTU Proceedings, 2022
The performance of concrete tunnel structures during and after fire is not well understood. This is an obstacle to the adoption of risk-based approaches for fire safety design of tunnel structures.
Ruben Van Coile   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluation of a reliability index for steel trusses to the deflection criterion with interval uncertainty of data

open access: yesStructural Mechanics of Engineering Constructions and Buildings, 2023
The authors describe a new approach to evaluation the reliability index of steel trusses by the criterion of deflection considering the uncertainty of random variables expressed in the interval form.
Sergey A. Solovev   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Bounding Failure Probability with the SIVIA Algorithm [PDF]

open access: yesBook of Extended Abstracts for the 32nd European Safety and Reliability Conference, 2022
The accuracy of Monte Carlo simulation methods depends on the computational effort invested in reducing the estimator variance. Typically reducing such variance requires invoking Monte Carlo with as many samples as one can afford. When the system is complex and the failure event is rare, it can be challenging to establish the correctness of the failure
de Angelis, Marco, Gray, Ander
openaire   +4 more sources

Quantification of Model Uncertainty Based on Variance and Entropy of Bernoulli Distribution

open access: yesMathematics, 2022
This article studies the role of model uncertainties in sensitivity and probability analysis of reliability. The measure of reliability is failure probability.
Zdeněk Kala
doaj   +1 more source

A Novel Methodology-Based Joint Hypergeometric Distribution to Analyze the Security of Sharded Blockchains

open access: yesIEEE Access, 2020
Cryptocurrencies (e.g., Bitcoin and Ethereum), which promise to become the future of money transactions, are mainly implemented with blockchain technology. However, blockchain suffers from scalability issues.
Abdelatif Hafid   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Probabilistic slope stability analysis: a case study of Ain Bouzian landslide within North-East Algeria

open access: yesJournal of Building Materials and Structures, 2022
The aim of this study is to carry out a probabilistic analysis of slope stability within homogenous soil profile of Ain Bouzian landslides located north-east Algeria.
Samir Ghedjati   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Influence of rock mass spatial variability on probability of tunnel roof wedge failure

open access: yesRock and Soil Mechanics, 2021
In tunnel design and construction, the stability evaluation of tunnel roof wedge usually adopts traditional deterministic analysis methods, which cannot appropriately reflect the spatial variability of rock mass.
ZHANG Wen-gang   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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