New practice for investors in Chinese stock market: From perspective of fractionally integrated realized GARCH model. [PDF]
Heliyon, 2023 Xiao M, Tao Z, Gu Z, Li Z, Chen X.
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting volatility and volume in the Tokyo stock market: The advantage of long memory models [PDF]
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular emphasis of this paper is on assessing the performance of long memory time series models in comparison to their short-memory ...
Kaizoji, Taisei, Lux, Thomas
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The Use of Weather Variables in the Modeling of Demand for Electricity in One of the Regions in the Southern Poland [PDF]
The main objective of the paper is the verification of usefulness of the ARFIMA-FIGARCH class models in the description of tendencies in the energy consumption in a selected region of the southern Poland taking into consideration weather variables ...
Aneta Wlodarczyk, Marcin Zawada
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How Risky Is the Value at Risk? [PDF]
The recent financial crisis has raised numerous questions about the accuracy of value-at-risk (VaR) as a tool to quantify extreme losses. In this paper we present empirical evidence from assessing the out-of-sample performance and robustness of VaR ...
Roxana Chiriac, Winfried Pohlmeier
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Symmetric and asymmetric GARCH estimations of the impact of oil price uncertainty on output growth: evidence from the G7. [PDF]
Lett Spat Resour Sci, 2023 Alao RO +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices with structural breaks and long memory models [PDF]
This paper investigates whether structural breaks and long memory are relevant features in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices using three GARCH-type models, i.e., linear GARCH, GARCH with structural breaks ...
Amine Lahiani +2 more
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RisksThis paper analyzes the volatility relationship between the Romanian BET index and the U.S. SFT-500 index during the period 2019–2024, with a particular focus on the impact of political and geopolitical shocks.
Kamer-Ainur Aivaz +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Modelling time-varying volatility using GARCH models: evidence from the Indian stock market. [PDF]
F1000Res, 2022 Ali F, Suri P, Kaur T, Bisht D.
europepmc +1 more source
Long Memory Persistence in the Factor of Implied Volatility Dynamics [PDF]
The volatility implied by observed market prices as a function of the strike and time to maturity form an Implied Volatility Surface (IV S). Practical applications require reducing the dimension and characterize its dynamics through a small number of ...
Julius Mungo, Wolfgang Härdle
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The multi-fractal model of asset returns : its estimation via GMM and its use for volatility forecasting [PDF]
Multi-fractal processes have been proposed as a new formalism for modeling the time series of returns in finance. The major attraction of these processes is their ability to generate various degrees of long memory in different powers of returns - a ...
Lux, Thomas
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