Results 51 to 60 of about 3,761,012 (326)
Spatial patterns in SST forecast skill.
, 2023 Colors indicate anomaly correlation coefficient for (top) January and (bottom) July initialized forecast at two lead times. Black stippling indicates regions with forecast skill that is not significantly greater than zero at the 95% confidence level ...
Christopher A. Edwards (2927097) +10 more
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Model evaluation for seasonal forecasting over southern Africa [PDF]
, 2011 Includes bibliographical references.This study contributes to a broader effort of institutions toward improving seasonal forecasts over southern Africa.
Browne, Nana Ama Kum
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An examination of the Arctic environment and Arctic cyclones during periods of low and high forecast skill of the synoptic-scale flow [PDF]
, 2021 This dissertation compares Arctic environmental conditions and Arctic cyclones (ACs) between periods of low and high forecast skill of the synoptic-scale flow over the Arctic during summer, hereafter referred to as low-skill periods and high-skill ...
Biernat, Kevin
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Understanding winter windstorm predictability over Europe [PDF]
Weather and Climate DynamicsWinter windstorms belong to the most damaging meteorological events in the extra-tropics. Their impact on society makes it essential to understand and improve seasonal forecasts of these extreme events.
L. Degenhardt +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Seasonal forecasting skill for the High Mountain Asia region in the Goddard Earth Observing System [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2023 Seasonal variability of the global hydrologic cycle directly impacts human activities, including hazard assessment and mitigation, agricultural decisions, and water resources management.
E. C. Massoud +8 more
doaj +1 more source
Ensemble forecast of an index of the Madden–Julian Oscillation using a stochastic weather generator based on circulation analogs [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2023 The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) is one of the main sources of sub-seasonal atmospheric predictability in the tropical region. The MJO affects precipitation over highly populated areas, especially around southern India. Therefore, predicting its phase
M. Krouma, M. Krouma, R. Silini, P. Yiou
doaj +1 more source
Exchange Rate Forecasters' Performance: Evidence of Skill? [PDF]
, 2009 This paper sheds new light on a long-standing puzzle in the international finance literature, namely, that exchange rate expectations appear inaccurate and even irrational. We find for a comprehensive dataset that individual forecasters' performance is skill-based. 'Superior' forecasters show consistent ability as their forecasting success holds across
Ronald MacDonald +2 more
openaire +3 more sources
npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceThis paper provides an updated assessment of the “International Research Institute for Climate and Society’s (IRI) El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Predictions Plume”. We evaluate 253 real-time forecasts of the Niño 3.4 index issued from February 2002
M. A. Ehsan +4 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Global observations and forecast skill [PDF]
Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 2005 The impact of selected observing systems on forecast skill is explored using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) 40-yr reanalysis (ERA-40) system. Analyses have been produced for a surface-based observing system typical of the period prior to 1945/1950, a terrestrial-based observing system typical of the period 1950–1979 and ...
Bengtsson, L., Hodges, K., Froude, L.
openaire +2 more sources
A Diagram Depicting Forecast Skill and Predictability
, 1984 In operational numerical weather prediction systems, both observations and numerical models contribute to the skill of the forecast. A simple diagram representing the relative contributions of observations and models to the current level of forecast ...
Richard A. Anthes, David P. Baumhefner
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