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The Effect of Lead-Time Weather Forecast Uncertainty on Outage Prediction Modeling
Weather-related power outages affect millions of utility customers every year. Predicting storm outages with lead times of up to five days could help utilities to allocate crews and resources and devise cost-effective restoration plans that meet the ...
Feifei Yang +2 more
doaj +1 more source
On the effects of the timing of an intense cyclone on summertime sea-ice evolution in the Arctic
This study investigates the impacts of the timing of an extreme cyclone that occurred in August 2012 on the sea-ice volume evolution based on the Arctic Ice Ocean Prediction System (ArcIOPS).
Zhongxiang Tian +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Editorial for Special Issue “New Frontiers in Forecasting the Business Cycle and Financial Markets”
The global financial crisis of 2007–2009 and the COVID-19 pandemic have heightened uncertainty in financial markets and the business cycle [...]
Alessia Paccagnini
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SIMLR: Machine Learning inside the SIR Model for COVID-19 Forecasting
Accurate forecasts of the number of newly infected people during an epidemic are critical for making effective timely decisions. This paper addresses this challenge using the SIMLR model, which incorporates machine learning (ML) into the epidemiological ...
Roberto Vega +2 more
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The contribution of structural break models to forecasting macroeconomic series [PDF]
This paper compares the forecasting performance of different models which have been proposed for forecasting in the presence of structural breaks. These models differ in their treatment of the break process, the model which applies in each regime and the
Ang +18 more
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Prediction of Autonomy Loss in Alzheimer’s Disease
The evolution of functional autonomy loss leads to institutionalization of people affected by Alzheimer’s disease (AD), to an alteration of their quality of life and that of their caregivers.
Anne-Sophie Nicolas +4 more
doaj +1 more source
The importance of the express delivery industry for the East Midlands economy [PDF]
This report assesses the importance of the express delivery industry for the economy of the East Midlands. It complements a similar report looking at the economic importance of the express industry for the UK as a whole. As well as quantifying the direct
Oxford Economic Forecasting
core
ABSTRACT Background An international Delphi panel of experts developed consensus statements to delineate the circumstances where the risks of dexamethasone as an antiemetic do and do not outweigh its benefits. Procedure Experts in supportive care of pediatric patients were invited to participate.
Negar Shavandi +20 more
wiley +1 more source
Nowcasting GDP: An Application to Portugal
Forecasting the state of an economy is important for policy makers and business leaders. When this is conducted in real-time, it is called nowcasting.
João B. Assunção +1 more
doaj +1 more source
Economic forecasting in a changing world [PDF]
This article explains the basis for a theory of economic forecasting developed over the past decade by the authors. The research has resulted in numerous articles in academic journals, two monographs, Forecasting Economic Time Series, 1998, Cambridge ...
Clements, Michael P., Hendry, David F.
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