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Making Progress in Forecasting [PDF]
, 2006 Twenty-five years ago, the International Institute of Forecasters was established “to bridge the gap between theory and practice.” Its primary vehicle was the Journal of Forecasting and is now the International Journal of Forecasting.
Armstrong, J. Scott, Fildes, Robert
core +2 more sources
Forecasting Breaks and Forecasting During Breaks [PDF]
, 2012 AbstractThis article, which proposes a new approach to forecasting breaks by focusing on the role of information, begins by outlining the eight conditions that are necessary to successfully forecast a break. Section 2 then considers the concepts of unpredictability and information to address the first necessary condition.
Jennifer Castle +2 more
openaire +4 more sources
Journal of Forecasting, 2011 ABSTRACTP. C. B. Phillips (1998) demonstrated that deterministic trends are a valid representation of an otherwise stochastic trending mechanism; he remained skeptic, however, about the predictive power of such representations. In this paper we prove that forecasts built upon spurious regression may perform (asymptotically) as well as those issued from
Martínez-Rivera, B. +2 more
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Southern Ocean Ice Prediction System version 1.0 (SOIPS v1.0): description of the system and evaluation of synoptic-scale sea ice forecasts [PDF]
Geoscientific Model DevelopmentAn operational synoptic-scale sea ice forecasting system for the Southern Ocean, namely the Southern Ocean Ice Prediction System (SOIPS), has been developed to support ship navigation in the Antarctic sea ice zone.
F. Zhao +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Improving Software Reliability Forecasting [PDF]
, 1996 This work investigates some methods for software reliability forecasting. A supermodel is presented as a suited tool for prediction of reliability in software project development.
Albeanu, Grigore +4 more
core +3 more sources
THE ECONOMIC STRUCTURES IN THE ROMANIAN REGIONS AND COUNTIES AND THE EU MEMBER STATES. COMPARATIVE ANALYSES. [PDF]
Strategii Manageriale, 2014 Bridging the gap between countries, and thus decresing poverty, is the greatest challenge of European countries in the context of the European social cohesion.
Marioara, IORDAN +3 more
doaj
Loop Current SSH Forecasting: A New Domain Partitioning Approach for a Machine Learning Model
Forecasting, 2021 A divide-and-conquer (DAC) machine learning approach was first proposed by Wang et al. to forecast the sea surface height (SSH) of the Loop Current System (LCS) in the Gulf of Mexico.
Justin L. Wang +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Journal of Futures Markets, 1999 The forecasting ability of the most popular volatility forecasting models is examined and an alternative model developed. Existing models are compared in terms of four attributes: (1) the relative weighting of recent versus older observations, (2) the estimation criterion, (3) the trade-off in terms of out-of-sample forecasting error between simple and
Ederington, Louis H., Guan, Wei
openaire +1 more source
Crystal structure and elasticity of Al-bearing phase H under high pressure
AIP Advances, 2018 Al has significant effect on properties of minerals. We reported crystal structure and elasticity of phase H, an important potential water reservoir in the mantle, which contains different Al using first principles simulations for understanding the ...
Guiping Liu +8 more
doaj +1 more source
Goes-13 IR Images for Rainfall Forecasting in Hurricane Storms
Forecasting, 2020 Currently, it is possible to access a large amount of satellite weather information from monitoring and forecasting severe storms. However, there are no methods of employing satellite images that can improve real-time early warning systems in different ...
Marilu Meza-Ruiz +1 more
doaj +1 more source