Results 31 to 40 of about 594,478 (289)
Evaluating probability forecasts
, 2012 Probability forecasts of events are routinely used in climate predictions, in forecasting default probabilities on bank loans or in estimating the probability of a patient's positive response to treatment.
Gross, Shulamith T. +2 more
core +1 more source
Journal of Futures Markets, 1999 The forecasting ability of the most popular volatility forecasting models is examined and an alternative model developed. Existing models are compared in terms of four attributes: (1) the relative weighting of recent versus older observations, (2) the estimation criterion, (3) the trade-off in terms of out-of-sample forecasting error between simple and
Ederington, Louis H., Guan, Wei
openaire +1 more source
House Price Forecasts, Forecaster Herding, and the Recent Crisis
International Journal of Financial Studies, 2012 We used the Wall Street Journal survey data for the period 2006–2012 to analyze whether forecasts of house prices and housing starts provide evidence of (anti-)herding of forecasters. Forecasts are consistent with herding (anti-herding) of forecasters if
Christian Pierdzioch +2 more
doaj +1 more source
The effect of water currents on wind drag – a case study of tidal currents and sea breeze in a semi-enclosed embayment [PDF]
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 2023 The details of how energy and momentum are exchanged at the interface between ocean surface and the atmosphere is complex and the subject of new and more complete models.
S. M. Thurgate
doaj
The role of the information set for forecasting - with applications to risk management [PDF]
, 2014 Predictions are issued on the basis of certain information. If the forecasting mechanisms are correctly specified, a larger amount of available information should lead to better forecasts.
Eulert, Matthias, Holzmann, Hajo
core +1 more source
ERA5–Drought: Global drought indices based on ECMWF reanalysis
Scientific DataDroughts are increasingly intensified by human-induced climate change and pose a growing threat to society. Thus, enhancing our capabilities to monitor drought occurrence and intensity is crucial.
Jessica Keune +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Buy, sell, or hold? A sense-making account of factors influencing trading decisions
Cogent Economics & Finance, 2017 We investigated the effects of news valence, the direction of trends in graphically presented price series, and the culture and personality of traders in a financial trading task. Participants were given 12 virtual shares of financial assets and asked to
Daphne Sobolev, Bryan Chan, Nigel Harvey
doaj +1 more source
Recent forecasts of the future growth of population in Italy
PSL Quarterly Review, 2014 The recent forecasts by both international and Italian students of future Italian population growth are critically described and commented on in the first part of the present article.
N. FEDERICI
doaj +1 more source
Week 52 Influenza Forecast for the 2012-2013 U.S. Season [PDF]
, 2013 This document is another installment in a series of near real-time weekly influenza forecasts made during the 2012-2013 influenza season. Here we present some of the results of forecasts initiated following assimilation of observations for Week 52 (i.e ...
Karspeck, Alicia +2 more
core
Pediatric Blood &Cancer, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Background Pediatric patients with extracranial solid tumors (ST) receiving chemotherapy are at an increased risk for Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PJP). However, evidence guiding prophylaxis practices in this population is limited. A PJP‐related fatality at our institution highlighted inconsistent prescribing approaches and concerns about
Kriti Kumar +8 more
wiley +1 more source