Results 1 to 10 of about 14,449,980 (201)

New practice for investors in Chinese stock market: From perspective of fractionally integrated realized GARCH model [PDF]

open access: yesHeliyon, 2023
In this paper, based on the Realized GARCH model, the fractional integration Realized GARCH model is proposed by combining long memory parameters with conditional variance and replacing the original realized measure with the realized measure obtained ...
Mei Xiao   +4 more
doaj   +2 more sources

A Hybrid Model of Machine Learning Model and Econometrics’ Model to Predict Volatility of KSE-100 Index

open access: yesReviews of Management Sciences, 2022
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to predict the volatility of the KSE-100 index using econometric and machine learning models. It also designs hybrid models for volatility forecasting by combining these two models in three different ways ...
Komal Batool   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Predicting daily streamflow with a novel multi-regime switching ARIMA-MS-GARCH model

open access: yesJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 2023
Study region: Weihe River Basin of China Study focus: In recent decades, changing environments destroyed the natural structure of streamflow, making accurate streamflow prediction challenging.
Huimin Wang   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling the volatility of Bitcoin returns using Nonparametric GARCH models

open access: yesAcademic Finance, 2022
Objective: The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the effectiveness of the nonparametric GARCH model for the prediction of future Bitcoin prices.   Methodology: The parametric GARCH models to characterize the volatility of Bitcoin returns are ...
Sami MESTIRI
doaj   +1 more source

Performance of the Realized-GARCH Model against Other GARCH Types in Predicting Cryptocurrency Volatility

open access: yesRisks, 2023
Cryptocurrencies have increasingly attracted the attention of several players interested in crypto assets. Their rapid growth and dynamic nature require robust methods for modeling their volatility.
Rhenan G. S. Queiroz, Sergio A. David
doaj   +1 more source

Portfolio optimization using modified Markowitz model based on CO-GARCH modeling compared to the market [PDF]

open access: yesاقتصاد باثبات, 2022
Portfolio optimization and deciding which stocks deserve to be included in the investment portfolio and how to allocate capital are complex issues. Theoretically, the selection of the stock portfolio in the case of risk minimization can be solved Using ...
Fahime Jahanian   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Estimation of value at risk (VaR) index of mobarakeh steel company using two-sided lomax GARCH model [PDF]

open access: yesتصمیم گیری و تحقیق در عملیات, 2022
Purpose: We have introduced the two-sided Lomax-GARCH (TSLx-GARCH) model. We have used this model to create a more realistic value-at-risk value index than other distributions for all confidence levels. We find this index for applied data.Methodology: In
Rasool Roozegar, Samane Arkia
doaj   +1 more source

Hybrid Model for Stock Market Volatility

open access: yesJournal of Probability and Statistics, 2023
Empirical evidence suggests that the traditional GARCH-type models are unable to accurately estimate the volatility of financial markets. To improve on the accuracy of the traditional GARCH-type models, a hybrid model (BSGARCH (1, 1)) that combines the ...
Kofi Agyarko   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A network autoregressive model with GARCH effects and its applications.

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2021
In this study, a network autoregressive model with GARCH effects, denoted by NAR-GARCH, is proposed to depict the return dynamics of stock market indices.
Shih-Feng Huang   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting gains by using extreme value theory with realised GARCH filter

open access: yesIIMB Management Review, 2021
Early empirical evidence suggests that the realised generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model provides significant forecasting gains over the standard GARCH models in volatility forecasting.
Samit Paul, Prateek Sharma
doaj   +1 more source

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