Results 111 to 120 of about 2,971 (265)

Electricity Price Prediction Using Multikernel Gaussian Process Regression Combined With Kernel‐Based Support Vector Regression

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper presents a new hybrid model for predicting German electricity prices. The algorithm is based on a combination of Gaussian process regression (GPR) and support vector regression (SVR). Although GPR is a competent model for learning stochastic patterns within data and for interpolation, its performance for out‐of‐sample data is not ...
Abhinav Das, Stephan Schlüter, Lorenz Schneider   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley   +1 more source

Quadratic Hedging of American Options Under GARCH Models

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT American options are widely traded in financial markets, yet there is a scarcity of literature on hedging in incomplete markets. In this paper, we derive optimal hedging ratios and option values using Local Risk Minimization (LRM) and Global Risk Minimization (GRM) hedging strategies through dynamic programming.
Junmei Ma, Chen Wang, Wei Xu
wiley   +1 more source

Modeling Nonstationary Financial Volatility with the R Package tvgarch

Journal of Statistical Software
Certain events can make the structure of volatility of financial returns to change, making it nonstationary. Models of time-varying conditional variance such as generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models usually assume ...
Susana Campos-Martins, Genaro Sucarrat
doaj   +1 more source

Improving Implied Volatility Forecasts for American Options Using Neural Networks

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper explores the application of neural networks to improve pricing of American options. Focusing on both American and European options on the S&P 100 index from January 2016 to August 2023, we integrate neural networks to model the difference between market‐implied and model‐implied volatilities derived from the Black‐Scholes and Heston
Haitong Jiang, Emese Lazar, Miriam Marra
wiley   +1 more source

Herding and Anti‐Herding Behaviour in the UK, French and German Stock Markets Before and During the Covid Pandemic

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper studies herding and anti‐herding behaviour in three European stock markets before and during the Covid‐19 pandemic by employing both static and dynamic analysis. We examine four different questions related to herding behaviour: (i) Did herding behaviour increase during the pandemic? (ii) Does herding behaviour respond differently in
Dimitrios Asteriou, Paraskevi Katsiampa, Keith Pilbeam, Alexander Tziamalis   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Hilbertian GARCH MODELS

, 2012
Strongly second order Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic models with values in separable Hilbert spaces (HGARCH, in brief) are introduced. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of these models are given. Tensor analysis for Hilbert-Schmidt operators, and conditional expectation operatorial calculus for Hilbert space ...
Reza Soltani, Ahmad, Shishebor, Zohreh, Sajjadnia, Zahra   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Climate Change Laws and European Stock Markets: An Event Analysis

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Under the context of the climate change we assess the impact of EU's legislative initiative on European stock markets. Specifically, we focus on its impact on energy and Environmental Social Governance (ESG) sectors for equity returns and volatility for a representative basket of EU countries (participating also in Eurozone) as well as ...
Theodoros Bratis, Georgios P. Kouretas, Evangelos Salachas   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Brexit and Its Impact on EU Financial Markets

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We investigate the impact of Brexit on volatility spillovers across the EU countries. We introduce a Brexit intensity measure that assigns an intensity score reflective of the financial markets' reaction to the events that occurred as Brexit negotiations began to unfold.
Marwan Izzeldin, Gulnur Muradoglu, Vasileios Pappas, Sheeja Sivaprasad   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Risk Transmission and Co‐Movements Between Financial Markets and Commodity Markets in the COVID‐19 Period

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study examines risk transmission and co‐movements between financial markets (G7 countries and China) and commodity markets (gold and oil) during the COVID‐19 crisis. Daily closing prices for major equity indices (CAC40, CSI300, DAX30, FTSE100, MIB, NIKKEI, TSX and S&P500) and futures prices for gold, brent and WTI were analysed using DCC ...
V. Moutinho, H. Oliveira, M. Neves, J. Monteiro   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source