Results 121 to 130 of about 16,252 (305)

Predicting EU Emissions Allowance Prices Using Macroeconomic Indicators and Hybrid AI Models

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Predicting carbon allowance prices has grown more crucial in relation to carbon market regulation, financial strategy, and environmental policy development. This study examines a hybrid forecasting system that combines deep learning with ensemble machine learning models to forecast the price fluctuations of EU Emissions Allowance (EUAs) within
Saptarshi Ganguly, Pooja Sengupta, Divya Aggarwal   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Comparison of Symmetrical; Asymmetrical; and Logarithmic Models Using GARCH; GJR-GARCH; and EGARCH Method in Forecasting Indonesia–USA Currency Volatility

Ekonometria
Aim: The main object of this study was to present a comparison between GARCH models, i.e. the standard GARCH model, asymmetric GJR-GARCH, and logarithmic EGARCH on exchange rate (IDR/USD) volatility.
Juwita Suwondo, Rern-Jay Hung, Eko Yuni Prihantono, Renaldi   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Estimation of temporally aggregated multivariate GARCH models

This paper investigates the performance of quasi maximum likelihood (QML) and nonlinear least squares (NLS) estimation applied to temporally aggregated GARCH models.Since these are known to be only weak GARCH, the conditional variance of the aggregated ...
Hafner, C.M., Rombouts, J.V.K.
core  

Practical Issues in the Analysis of Univariate GARCH Models [PDF]

This paper gives a tour through the empirical analysis of univariate GARCH models for financial time series with stops along the way to discuss various practical issues associated with model specification, estimation, diagnostic evaluation and ...
Eric Zivot
core  

Threshold Asymmetric Conditional Autoregressive Range (TACARR) Model

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a Threshold Asymmetric Conditional Autoregressive Range (TACARR) model for analyzing the daily price ranges of financial assets. The proposed formulation assumes that the conditional expected range switches between two regimes, representing upward and downward market states, with the disturbance distribution also allowed ...
Isuru Ratnayake, V. A. Samaranayake
wiley   +1 more source

Time‐Varying Skewness–Kurtosis Dynamics in Bitcoin Markets

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the relationship between skewness and kurtosis in Bitcoin spot and futures markets using high‐frequency data. We document a strong convex skewness–kurtosis relationship consistent with theoretical moment restrictions. Trading activity is positively associated with realized kurtosis, particularly in futures markets, though ...
Ariston Karagiorgis, Antonis Ballis
wiley   +1 more source

Predicting volatility of cryptocurrencies: Deep learning and GARCH family models

Modern Finance
This paper examines the application of econometric models, deep learning architectures, and hybrid combinations of both methods for volatility forecasting in cryptocurrency markets. Using daily data on 10 major cryptocurrencies from 2020–2025, this work
Abdul Moiz, Hassan Raza
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting the weekly time-varying beta of UK firms: comparison between GARCH models vs Kalman filter method

, 2007
This paper investigates the forecasting ability of four different GARCH models and the Kalman filtermethod. The four GARCH models applied are the bivariate GARCH, BEKK GARCH, GARCH-GJRand the GARCH-X model. The paper also compares the forecasting ability
Wu, Hao, Choudhry, Taufiq
core  

Climate Change Laws and European Stock Markets: An Event Analysis

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Under the context of the climate change we assess the impact of EU's legislative initiative on European stock markets. Specifically, we focus on its impact on energy and Environmental Social Governance (ESG) sectors for equity returns and volatility for a representative basket of EU countries (participating also in Eurozone) as well as ...
Theodoros Bratis, Georgios P. Kouretas, Evangelos Salachas   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Brexit and Its Impact on EU Financial Markets

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We investigate the impact of Brexit on volatility spillovers across the EU countries. We introduce a Brexit intensity measure that assigns an intensity score reflective of the financial markets' reaction to the events that occurred as Brexit negotiations began to unfold.
Marwan Izzeldin, Gulnur Muradoglu, Vasileios Pappas, Sheeja Sivaprasad   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source