Climatic and oceanic associations with daily rainfall extremes over southern Africa [PDF]
, 2006 Changes in climate variability and, in particular, changes in extreme climate events are likely to be of far more significance for environmentally vulnerable regions than changes in the mean state.
Arkin +52 more
core +1 more source
Reconciling roles of the South China Sea summer monsoon and ENSO in prediction of the Indian Ocean dipole [PDF]
, 2023 Yazhou Zhang +8 more
openalex +1 more source
The Extent of El Niño and La Niña Influence on Australian Rainfall
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 1, 16 January 2026.Abstract El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO), where the central‐east tropical Pacific is unusually warm (El Niño) or cold (La Niña), is known to influence Australian rainfall. Here, we detail the extent of ENSO's influence on Australian monthly rainfall distributions and clarify its many complexities.
Peter van Rensch +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Seasonal cycle of precipitation variability in South America on intraseasonal timescales [PDF]
, 2017 The seasonal cycle of the intraseasonal (IS) variability of precipitation in South America is described through the analysis of bandpass filtered outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) anomalies.
AM Grimm +28 more
core +2 more sources
Impact of the Strong Downwelling (Upwelling) on Small Pelagic Fish Production during the 2016 (2019) Negative (Positive) Indian Ocean Dipole Events in the Eastern Indian Ocean off Java [PDF]
, 2021 Jonson Lumban-Gaol +11 more
openalex +1 more source
ENSO‐CausalNet: Integrating Causal Inference Into Deep Learning for Robust ENSO Prediction
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 1, 16 January 2026.Abstract Climate mode interactions are inherently causal. While deep learning excels at climate prediction, particularly for El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO), its interpretability remains limited to validating known correlations. Here we propose a paradigm integrating causal inference into data‐driven modeling to enable predictions based on genuine ...
Yuehan Cui, Bin Mu, Shijin Yuan, Bo Qin
wiley +1 more source
Low frequency oscillations in total ozone measurements [PDF]
Low frequency oscillations with periods of approximately one to two months are found in eight years of global grids of total ozone data from the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) satellite instrument.
Gao, X. H., Stanford, J. L.
core +1 more source
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 1, 16 January 2026.Abstract We investigate implications of the recent change in basal melt rates from 93 Antarctic ice shelves from the 1990s to 2006–2016 (223 Gt yr−1 on average) on Southern Ocean climate using a fully coupled model. The most prominent response is significant increased sea ice coverage in the northern Amundsen Sea and decreased sea ice coverage in the ...
Zhu Zhu +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Observed twin gyres and their interannual variability in the equatorial Indian Ocean using Topex/Poseidon altimetry [PDF]
, 2008 Recent numerical models have simulated the equatorial Indian Ocean twin gyres. However, there is no strong observational evidence for the existence of these gyres.
Gnanaseelan, C, Salvekar, PS, Vaid, BH
core
Southern African summer-rainfall variability, and its teleconnections, on interannual to interdecadal timescales in CMIP5 models [PDF]
, 2019 23 pagesInternational audienceThis study provides the first assessment of CMIP5 model performances in simulating southern Africa (SA) rainfall variability in austral summer (Nov–Feb), and its teleconnections with large-scale climate variability at ...
Cretat, Julien +7 more
core +2 more sources