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A beta-Poisson model for infectious disease transmission. [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS Computational Biology, 2023
Outbreaks of emerging and zoonotic infections represent a substantial threat to human health and well-being. These outbreaks tend to be characterised by highly stochastic transmission dynamics with intense variation in transmission potential between ...
Joe Hilton, Ian Hall
doaj   +7 more sources

Tooling-up for infectious disease transmission modelling [PDF]

open access: yesEpidemics, 2020
In this introduction to the Special Issue on methods for modelling of infectious disease epidemiology we provide a commentary and overview of the field.
Marc Baguelin   +6 more
doaj   +5 more sources

Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission

open access: yesSystems, 2022
Vaccines are one of the safest medical interventions in history and can protect against infectious diseases and ensure important health benefits. Despite these advantages, health professionals and policymakers face significant challenges in terms of ...
Nabeela Mumtaz   +2 more
doaj   +4 more sources

Structural identifiability of compartmental models for infectious disease transmission is influenced by data type [PDF]

open access: yesEpidemics, 2022
If model identifiability is not confirmed, inferences from infectious disease transmission models may not be reliable, so they might lead to misleading recommendations.
Emmanuelle A Dankwa, Andrew F Brouwer
exaly   +5 more sources

Editorial: Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Transmission Dynamics

open access: yesViruses, 2023
Infectious diseases, such as COVID-19 [...]
Zhanwei Du   +3 more
doaj   +4 more sources

Prevention and control of infectious disease transmission in subways: an improved susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered model [PDF]

open access: yesFrontiers in Public Health
IntroductionA well-connected transportation network unites localities but also accelerates the transmission of infectious diseases. Subways—an important aspect of daily travel in big cities—are high-risk sites for the transmission of urban epidemics ...
Fang Zhou   +4 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Bayesian workflow for time-varying transmission in stratified compartmental infectious disease transmission models. [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS Computational Biology
Compartmental models that describe infectious disease transmission across subpopulations are central for assessing the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions, behavioral changes and seasonal effects on the spread of respiratory infections. We present
Judith A Bouman   +8 more
doaj   +2 more sources

A mathematical model of infectious disease transmission [PDF]

open access: yesITM Web of Conferences, 2020
In this paper we consider a three-dimensional nonlinear system which models the dynamics of a population during an epidemic disease. The considered model is a SIS-type system in which a recovered individual automatically becomes a susceptible one.
Florea Aurelia, Lăzureanu Cristian
doaj   +1 more source

Rapid incidence estimation from SARS-CoV-2 genomes reveals decreased case detection in Europe during summer 2020

open access: yesNature Communications, 2021
The true number of infections from SARS-Cov-2 is unknown and believed to exceed the reported numbers by several fold. National testing policies, in particular, can strongly affect the proportion of undetected cases.
Maureen Rebecca Smith   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Universal Theory for Multiscale Modelling of Infectious Disease Dynamics

open access: yesMathematics, 2023
The replication-transmission relativity theory, currently used to inform the development of multiscale models of infectious disease dynamics, needs a revision and extension to accommodate new basic science and clinical information about infectious ...
Winston Garira, Kizito Muzhinji
doaj   +1 more source

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