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Reactions of household inflation expectations to a symmetric inflation target and high inflation
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2022ABSTRACT We examine how households' euro‐area inflation expectations reacted to the ECB's adoption of a symmetric inflation target in July 2021, and the subsequent inflation surge. Using a randomised control trial within a monthly representative survey, we elicit short‐ and long‐term inflation expectations.
Gabriele Galati +2 more
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Global Inflation Dynamics and Inflation Expectations
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018Abstract In this paper we investigate dynamics of inflation and short-run inflation expectations. We estimate a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model using Bayesian techniques. We then explore the effects of three source of inflationary pressure that could drive up inflation expectations: domestic aggregate demand and supply shocks as well as a ...
Martin Feldkircher, Pierre L. Siklos
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Weighted Median Inflation: Is This Core Inflation?
Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 2004This paper investigates core inflation defined as the best predictor of US inflation. I compare forecasts obtained using the weighted median consumer price index inflation rate, a trimmed mean consumer price index inflation rate, the consumer price index inflation rate and the consumer price index less food and energy inflation rate.
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Inflation compensation and inflation expectations in Chile [PDF]
Monetaria, 2007 This paper studies the relationship between inflation compensation and inflation expectations in Chile. First, we use the present discounted value methodology to decompose the difference between the unanticipated return of nominal and inflation-linked bonds into news about expected inflation and premiums.
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Inflation synchronization among the G7and China: The important role of oil inflation
Energy Economics, 2021Shawkat Hammoudeh +2 more
exaly
Low Inflation or No Inflation?
The Brookings Review, 1996George A. Akerlof +2 more
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The “inflation” in inflation targeting
2010Many central banks conduct monetary policy according to an inflation-targeting framework. Central to such a framework is the principle that monetary policy decisions are formulated in the context of an explicitly announced numerical target or range for some measure of inflation.
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