Results 11 to 20 of about 4,862,544 (268)
Judgment and Decision Making, 2019 Stastny and Lehner (2018) reported a study comparing the forecast accuracy of a US intelligence community prediction market (ICPM) to traditionally produced intelligence reports.
David R. Mandel
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Acta Agriculturae Slovenica, 2019 Arthropods fauna contributes significantly to biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. In this context an inventory of arthropods communities upon ecological apple plot, ‘Red Delicious’ is realized in Sidi Naâmane area (Tizi-Ouzou, Algeria).
Dyhia GUERMAH +2 more
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CoRR, 2023 Machine learning systems such as large scale recommendation systems or natural language processing systems are usually trained on billions of training points and are associated with hundreds of billions or trillions of parameters. Improving the learning process in such a way that both the training load is reduced and the model accuracy improved is ...
Michael Kounavis +2 more
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Policy influence and influencers online and off
Policy Studies Journal, 2023 Abstract Social media is an important arena for policy contestation. Although online social media debates can yield notable power over political processes offline, little research has examined the relationship between policy actors' influence in offline policymaking and social media policy arenas.
Anniina Kotkaniemi +2 more
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Boosting intelligence analysts’ judgment accuracy: What works, what fails?
Judgment and Decision Making, 2018 A routine part of intelligence analysis is judging the probability of alternative hypotheses given available evidence. Intelligence organizations advise analysts to use intelligence-tradecraft methods such as Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) to ...
David R. Mandel +2 more
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The online hostility hypothesis: representations of Muslims in online media
Social Influence, 2023 Using a large data set of online media content in eight European countries, this paper broadens the empirical investigation of the online hostility hypothesis, which posits that interactions on social sites such as blogs and forums contain more hostile ...
Linn Sandberg +2 more
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Correcting Judgment Correctives in National Security Intelligence
Frontiers in Psychology, 2018 Intelligence analysts, like other professionals, form norms that define standards of tradecraft excellence. These norms, however, have evolved in an idiosyncratic manner that reflects the influence of prominent insiders who had keen psychological ...
David R. Mandel, Philip E. Tetlock
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Social Influence, 2023 Aggression and violence have been shown to spread among connected individuals. The present experimental study aims to test whether exposure to violent video games increases aggression levels in players and whether this increased aggression spreads among ...
Martin Delhove, Tobias Greitemeyer
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Poverty dynamics in Nairobi's slums; Testing for state dependence and heterogeneity effects
Economía, 2022 We investigate the factors underlying poverty transitions in Nairobi’s slums focusing on whether differences in characteristics make people more prone to enter poverty and persist in, or whether past experience of poverty matters on future states ...
Md Nizamul Islam, Ousmane FAYE
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Social Influence, 2022 Social norms have been implemented to change a variety of behaviors. Yet, these studies show noticeable dispersion of effects. We suggest that such dispersion is partially due to people perceiving reasons for following a certain norm to be more or less ...
Magnus Bergquist, Emma Ejelöv
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