Results 51 to 60 of about 3,995 (142)

Estimating Velocities of Infectious Disease Spread Through Spatio‐Temporal Log‐Gaussian Cox Point Processes

open access: yesInternational Statistical Review, EarlyView.
Summary Understanding the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID‐19 is crucial for informed decision‐making and resource allocation. A critical component of disease behaviour is the velocity with which disease spreads, defined as the rate of change between time and space.
Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Modeling suspected malaria cases in Papua province with second order Besag-York-Mollie 2 spatial regression

open access: yesInternational Journal of Applied Mathematics, Sciences, and Technology for National Defense
The number of malaria cases in Indonesia has increased in recent years. The highest malaria cases in Indonesia are in the eastern region, namely Papua Province, where in 2021 there were 86,022 cases.
Kirana Azzahra   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Spatial distribution of dengue incidence and socio-environmental conditions in Campinas, São Paulo State, Brazil, 2007

open access: yesCadernos de Saúde Pública, 2013
This study aimed to analyze the spatial distribution of dengue risk and its association with socio-environmental conditions. This was an ecological study of the counts of autochthonous dengue cases in the municipality of Campinas, São Paulo State, Brazil,
José Vilton Costa   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Need to go further: using INLA to discover limits and chances of burglaries’ spatiotemporal prediction in heterogeneous environments

open access: yesCrime Science, 2022
Near-repeat victimization patterns have made predictive models for burglaries possible. While the models have been implemented in different countries, the results obtained have not always been in line with initial expectations; to the point where their ...
Pere Boqué, Marc Saez, Laura Serra
doaj   +1 more source

An Extended Laplace Approximation Method for Bayesian Inference of Self-Exciting Spatial-Temporal Models of Count Data [PDF]

open access: yes, 2017
Self-Exciting models are statistical models of count data where the probability of an event occurring is influenced by the history of the process. In particular, self-exciting spatio-temporal models allow for spatial dependence as well as temporal self ...
Clark, Nicholas   +2 more
core   +2 more sources

Coherent Disaggregation and Uncertainty Quantification for Spatially Misaligned Data

open access: yesEnvironmetrics, Volume 37, Issue 2, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Spatial misalignment arises when datasets are aggregated or collected at different spatial scales, leading to information loss. We develop a Bayesian disaggregation framework that links misaligned data to a continuous‐domain model through an iteratively linearised integration scheme implemented with the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (
Man Ho Suen, Mark Naylor, Finn Lindgren
wiley   +1 more source

Choosing Right Bayesian Tools: A Comparative Study of Modern Bayesian Methods in Spatial Econometric Models

open access: yesEconometrics
We compare three modern Bayesian approaches, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), Variational Bayes (VB), and Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA), for two classic spatial econometric specifications: the spatial lag model and spatial error model. Our
Yuheng Ling, Julie Le Gallo
doaj   +1 more source

Impact of early phase COVID-19 precautionary behaviors on seasonal influenza in Hong Kong: A time-series modeling approach

open access: yesFrontiers in Public Health, 2022
BackgroundBefore major non-pharmaceutical interventions were implemented, seasonal incidence of influenza in Hong Kong showed a rapid and unexpected reduction immediately following the early spread of COVID-19 in mainland China in January 2020.
Chun-Pang Lin   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Point process-based modeling of multiple debris flow landslides using INLA: an application to the 2009 Messina disaster

open access: yes, 2017
We develop a stochastic modeling approach based on spatial point processes of log-Gaussian Cox type for a collection of around 5000 landslide events provoked by a precipitation trigger in Sicily, Italy.
Huser, Raphael   +2 more
core   +1 more source

A standardization procedure to incorporate variance partitioning‐based priors in latent Gaussian models

open access: yesScandinavian Journal of Statistics, Volume 53, Issue 1, Page 364-394, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are a subset of Bayesian Hierarchical models where Gaussian priors, conditional on variance parameters, are assigned to all effects in the model. LGMs are employed in many fields for their flexibility and computational efficiency. However, practitioners find prior elicitation on the variance parameters challenging
Luisa Ferrari, Massimo Ventrucci
wiley   +1 more source

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