Results 41 to 50 of about 365,419 (293)

Persistent Decadal-Scale Rainfall Variability in the Tropical South Pacific Convergence Zone Through the Past Six Centuries [PDF]

, 2013
Modern Pacific decadal variability (PDV) has global impacts; hence records of PDV from the pre-instrumental period are needed to better inform models that are used to project future climate variability.
Banner, J. L., Lin, K., Maupin, C. R., Partin, J. W., Quinn, T. M., Shen, C. C., Sinclair, D. J., Taylor, F. W., Thirumalai, K.   +8 more
core   +2 more sources

International Trade and the Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability [PDF]

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012
This paper has three messages mainly, which are observed in a simple model of climate change, international trade and regional adaptation. First, trade can be viewed as a kind of adaptation to climate change and variability, as trade can help to reduce direct impacts of global climate change on a region’s welfare.
Stephan, Gunter, Schenker, Oliver
openaire   +7 more sources

Estimating trends in the global mean temperature record [PDF]

, 2017
Given uncertainties in physical theory and numerical climate simulations, the historical temperature record is often used as a source of empirical information about climate change.
Moyer, Elisabeth J., Poppick, Andrew, Stein, Michael L.   +2 more
core   +3 more sources

ENSO Change in Climate Projections: Forced Response or Internal Variability? [PDF]

Geophysical Research Letters, 2018
AbstractTwo large ensembles are used to quantify the extent to which internal variability can contribute to long‐term changes in El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) characteristics. We diagnose changes that are externally forced and distinguish between multi‐model simulation results that differ by chance and those that differ due to different model ...
N. Maher, D. Matei, S. Milinski, J. Marotzke   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates [PDF]

, 2017
In the early twenty-first century, satellite-derived tropospheric warming trends were generally smaller than trends estimated from a large multi-model ensemble.
Bonfils, Céline, Cvijanovic, Ivana, England, Matthew H., Flato, Gregory M., Fu, Qiang, Fyfe, John C., Hawkins, Ed, Mann, Michael E., Mears, Carl, Meehl, Gerald A., Painter, Jeffrey F., Pallotta, Giuliana, Po-Chedley, Stephen, Santer, Benjamin D., Wentz, Frank J., Zou, Cheng-Zhi   +15 more
core   +1 more source

Constraining net long-term climate feedback from satellite-observed internal variability possible by the mid-2030s [PDF]

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Observing climate feedbacks to long-term global warming, which are crucial climate regulators, is not feasible within the observational record. However, linking them to top-of-the-atmosphere flux variations in response to natural surface temperature ...
A. Uribe, A. Uribe, F. A.-M. Bender, F. A.-M. Bender, T. Mauritsen, T. Mauritsen   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Origins of the midlatitude Pacific decadal variability [PDF]

, 1999
Analysis of multiple climate simulations shows much of the midlatitude Pacific decadal variability to be composed of two simultaneously occurring elements: One is a stochastically driven, passive ocean response to the atmosphere while the other is ...
Barnett, Barnett, Barsugli, David W. Pierce, Dietmar Dommenget, Frey, Horel, Latif, Latif, Mantua, Meehl, Mojib Latif, Munnich, Niklas Schneider, Pierce, R. Saravanan, Saravanan, Saravanan, Tim P. Barnett, Venzke, Weng   +20 more
core   +1 more source

Internal Climate Variability in Global and Regional Climate Models

, 2004
Internally generated climate variability on decadal to centennial time scales was studied with a hierarchy of climate models, including global as well as regional models. The analyses of long-term model integrations over 1000 years with global models of different complexity showed their potential to generate interannual to interdecadal variability ...
Handorf, D, Dorn, W, Dethloff, K, Rinke, A, Weisheimer, A   +4 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Solar‐induced versus internal variability in a coupled climate model [PDF]

Geophysical Research Letters, 1999
A series of experiments is conducted in which a variable solar irradiance is imposed for a range of frequencies and amplitudes in a simplified coupled General Circulation Model. For realistic amplitudes solar forcing dominates over internal variability in global mean surface air temperature (GM‐SAT) beyond decadal timescales.
Drijfhout, S.S., Haarsma, R.J., Opsteegh, J.D., Selten, F.M.   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Is anthropogenic sea level fingerprint already detectable in the Pacific ocean ? [PDF]

, 2015
Sea level rates up to three times the global mean rate are being observed in the western tropical Pacific since 1993 by satellite altimetry. From recently published studies, it is not yet clear whether the sea level spatial trend patterns of the Pacific ...
Cazenave, A., Delcroix, Thierry, Meyssignac, B., Palanisamy, H.   +3 more
core   +1 more source