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Climate change impacts include contributions from both anthropogenic forcing and internal (natural) climate variability. Large ensembles of Earth System Model (ESM) simulations have been used to quantify the influence of natural variability in climate ...
M. Saenger +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Interannual climate variability seen in the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project [PDF]
Following reconstructions suggesting weakened temperature gradients along the Equator in the early Pliocene, there has been much speculation about Pliocene climate variability.
Brierley, CM, C. M. Brierley
core +2 more sources
Seasonal Climate Forecasts and Risk Management Among Georgia Farmers [PDF]
Recent increases in the scientific robustness of seasonal climate forecasts have not led to substantial changes in farmers’ risk management strategies of actors, largely because there is poor integration of scientific forecasting into farmers’ decision ...
Hoogenhoom, G. +13 more
core
Robustly quantifying climate extremes is crucial for understanding their occurrence, reliable impact assessments, and efficient adaptation planning. To allow objective and comparable assessments of various climate extremes across regions, time periods ...
Lukas Brunner +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Impact of internal variability on projections of Sahel precipitation change
The impact of the increase of greenhouse gases on Sahelian precipitation is very uncertain in both its spatial pattern and magnitude. In particular, the relative importance of internal variability versus external forcings depends on the time horizon ...
Paul-Arthur Monerie +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Detecting the contributions of internal variability and external forcing to the evolution of surface air temperature (SAT) trend at regional scales is a challenge.
Hainan Gong +3 more
doaj +1 more source
In parts of the global ocean, large internal variability continues to mask the detection of externally forced sea surface temperature (SST) trends in observations and climate models.
Sarah M. Larson, Kay McMonigal
doaj +1 more source
Effects of Internal Climate Variability on Historical Ocean Wave Height Trend Assessment
This study assesses the effects of internal climate variability on wave height trend assessment using the d4PDF-WaveHs, the first single model initial-condition large ensemble (100-member) of significant wave height (Hs) simulations for the 1951–2010 ...
Mercè Casas-Prat +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Thirsty country: climate change and drought in Australia [PDF]
This report argues that climate change is likely making drought worse in the southeast and southwest of Australia, which are some of our most populous regions. Introduction Drought has deeply affected Australia throughout its history.
Climate Council
core
The efficient global primitive equation climate model SPEEDO V2.0 [PDF]
The efficient primitive-equation coupled atmosphere-ocean model SPEEDO V2.0 is presented. The model includes an interactive sea-ice and land component. SPEEDO is a global earth system model of intermediate complexity.
Severijns, C.A. +3 more
core +2 more sources

