Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability [PDF]
Identifying and quantifying irreducible and reducible uncertainties in the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) response to future climate change is essential for guiding mitigation and adaptation policy decision.
J. Caillet +12 more
doaj +1 more source
UK emergency preparedness: a holistic local response? [PDF]
Purpose – This paper aims to argue that to address the consequences of climate change and variability a greater focus on pre-emergency planning that engages a wider stakeholder group must be adopted.
O'Brien, Geoff
core +1 more source
Variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation described by three-dimensional empirical orthogonal functions [PDF]
We describe the use of bivariate 3d empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) in characterising low frequency variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC) in the Hadley Centre global climate model, HadCM3. We find that the leading two modes are
Hawkins, Ed, Sutton, Rowan
core +1 more source
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era [PDF]
Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate.
an der Schrier, Gerard v +58 more
core +2 more sources
Patterns of change: whose fingerprint is seen in global warming? [PDF]
Attributing observed climate change to causes is challenging. This letter communicates the physical arguments used in attribution, and the statistical methods applied to explore to what extent different possible causes can be used to explain the recent ...
+11 more
core +1 more source
Tropical Pacific spatial trend patterns in observed sea level: internal variability and/or anthropogenic signature? [PDF]
In this study we focus on the sea level trend pattern observed by satellite altimetry in the tropical Pacific over the 1993–2009 time span (i.e. 17 yr).
Becker, M. +4 more
core +5 more sources
Climate variability and campylobacter infection: an international study
Campylobacter is among the most important agents of enteritis in developed countries. We have described the potential environmental determinants of the seasonal pattern of infection with campylobacter in Europe, Canada, Australia and New Zealand.
Kovats, R Sari +18 more
openaire +4 more sources
The effect of doubled CO2 and model basic state biases on the monsoon-ENSO system. I: Mean response and interannual variability [PDF]
The impact of doubled CO2 concentration on the Asian summer monsoon is studied using a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Both the mean seasonal precipitation and interannual monsoon variability are found to increase in the future climate scenario presented.
Annamalai +46 more
core +1 more source
The Greenland Ice Sheet Large Ensemble (GrISLENS): simulating the future of Greenland under climate variability [PDF]
The Greenland ice sheet has lost ice at an increasing pace over recent decades, driven by a combination of human-caused climate change and internal variability in the climate system.
V. Verjans +8 more
doaj +1 more source
Comparison and assessment of large-scale surface temperature in climate model simulations [PDF]
We present a data-driven approach to assess and compare the behavior of large-scale spatial averages of surface temperature in climate model simulations and in observational products.
R. Barata, R. Prado, B. Sansó
doaj +1 more source

