Results 11 to 20 of about 365,419 (293)

Identifying teleconnections and multidecadal variability of East Asian surface temperature during the last millennium in CMIP5 simulations [PDF]

open access: yesClimate of the Past, 2019
We examine the relationships in models and reconstructions between the multidecadal variability of surface temperature in East Asia and two extratropical modes of variability: the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the Pacific Decadal ...
S. B. Ratna   +4 more
doaj   +4 more sources

On the contribution of internal climate variability to European future climate trends [PDF]

open access: yesTellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 2020
Large historical and future ensemble simulations from the Max-Planck Institute and the Canadian Earth System Models and from CMIP5 have been analysed to investigate the uncertainty due to internal variability in multi-decadal temperature and ...
T. Koenigk   +7 more
doaj   +4 more sources

Internal and external variability in regional simulations of the Iberian Peninsula climate over the last millennium [PDF]

open access: yesClimate of the Past, 2012
In this study we analyse the role of internal variability in regional climate simulations through a comparison of two regional paleoclimate simulations for the last millennium. They share the same external forcings and model configuration, differing only
J. J. Gómez-Navarro   +6 more
doaj   +9 more sources

Multi-centennial internal variability in the North Atlantic could drive additional warming over Europe [PDF]

open access: yesNature Communications
Europe has experienced abnormal warming over the recent decades. Model-based studies highlight that multi-centennial internal variability of the North Atlantic can strongly affect European temperatures.
A. Al-Yaari   +8 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Emulating Natural Climate Variability With InVERT (Internal Variability Emulator for Regional Temperature)

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters
Climate change impacts include contributions from both anthropogenic forcing and internal (natural) climate variability. Large ensembles of Earth System Model (ESM) simulations have been used to quantify the influence of natural variability in climate ...
M. Saenger   +3 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Internal and external North Atlantic Sector variability in the Kiel Climate Model [PDF]

open access: yesMeteorologische Zeitschrift, 2009
The internal and external North Atlantic Sector variability is investigated by means of a multimillennial control run and forced experiments with the Kiel Climate Model (KCM). The internal variability is studied by analyzing the control run.
Mojib Latif   +3 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Understanding drivers of glacier-length variability over the last millennium [PDF]

open access: yesThe Cryosphere, 2021
Changes in glacier length reflect the integrated response to local fluctuations in temperature and precipitation resulting from both external forcing (e.g., volcanic eruptions or anthropogenic CO2) and internal climate variability.
A. Huston   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

A range of outcomes: the combined effects of internal variability and anthropogenic forcing on regional climate trends over Europe [PDF]

open access: yesNonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2023
Disentangling the effects of internal variability and anthropogenic forcing on regional climate trends remains a key challenge with far-reaching implications.
C. Deser, A. S. Phillips
doaj   +1 more source

Comparing climate time series – Part 2: A multivariate test [PDF]

open access: yesAdvances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, 2021
This paper proposes a criterion for deciding whether climate model simulations are consistent with observations. Importantly, the criterion accounts for correlations in both space and time.
T. DelSole, M. K. Tippett
doaj   +1 more source

Climate Variability and International Migration: An Empirical Analysis [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2014
AbstractIs international migration an adaptation strategy to sudden or gradual climatic shocks? In this paper we investigate the direct and the indirect role of climatic shocks in developing countries as a determinant of out-migration flows toward rich OECD countries in the period 1990–2001.
CONIGLIO, NICOLA DANIELE, Pesce Giovanni
openaire   +4 more sources

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