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SparseTSF: Modeling Long-term Time Series Forecasting with 1k Parameters
International Conference on Machine LearningThis paper introduces SparseTSF, a novel, extremely lightweight model for Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), designed to address the challenges of modeling complex temporal dependencies over extended horizons with minimal computational resources ...
Shengsheng Lin +4 more
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Models for long-term energy forecasting
2003 IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting (IEEE Cat. No.03CH37491), 2004Based on historical data related to an actual power system, the paper develops and evaluates the accuracy of a range of mathematical models for long-term forecasting of energy demand in the system. Starting from the basic relationship in an econometric model based on regression analysis, the development and evaluation are extended to include advanced ...
C.W. Fu, T.T. Nguyen
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Long‐term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 1994We estimate long‐term worldwide earthquake probabilities by extrapolating catalogs of seismic moment solutions. We base the forecast on correlations of seismic moment tensor solutions. The forecast is expressed as a map showing predicted rate densities for earthquake occurrence and for focal mechanism orientation.
Y. Y. Kagan, D. D. Jackson
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Future prices in long-term forecasting
Futures, 1969Long-range planning systems have, in the past, been based mainly on “volume” changes, implying a constant price structure. But the impact of changes in relative prices on the structures of output are at least as important as the impact of changes in technology.
E. Fontela, G. McNeill
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Unlocking the Power of LSTM for Long Term Time Series Forecasting
AAAI Conference on Artificial IntelligenceTraditional recurrent neural network architectures, such as long short-term memory neural networks (LSTM), have historically held a prominent role in time series forecasting (TSF) tasks. While the recently introduced sLSTM for Natural Language Processing
Yaxuan Kong +7 more
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Long-Term Forecasting of World Economy
World Economy and International Relations, 2014The paper considers contemporary approaches of long-term forecasting of world and national economics. Foreign practice is of especial interest of authors. Researches and results of PricewaterhouseCoopers and Goldman Sachs are exposed in details. Authors make the following conclusions: a production function model is used often to generate forecasts. The
Y. Lukashin, L. Rakhlina
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Long-Term Energy and Peak Power Demand Forecasting Based on Sequential-XGBoost
IEEE Transactions on Power SystemsLong-term energy and peak power forecast are essential tasks for the effective planning of power systems. Utilities often conduct long-term energy consumption and peak power demand forecasting separately through different forecasting frameworks ...
Tingze Zhang +6 more
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Broken symmetry and long‐term forecasting
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2007This paper takes a novel approach to a known basic difficulty with computer simulations of nonlinear dynamical systems relevant to climate modeling. Specifically, we show by minimal examples how small systematic modeling errors might survive averaging over an ensemble of initial conditions.
Christopher Essex +2 more
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TimeBridge: Non-Stationarity Matters for Long-term Time Series Forecasting
International Conference on Machine LearningNon-stationarity poses significant challenges for multivariate time series forecasting due to the inherent short-term fluctuations and long-term trends that can lead to spurious regressions or obscure essential long-term relationships.
Peiyuan Liu +6 more
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