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Long‐term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 1994We estimate long‐term worldwide earthquake probabilities by extrapolating catalogs of seismic moment solutions. We base the forecast on correlations of seismic moment tensor solutions. The forecast is expressed as a map showing predicted rate densities for earthquake occurrence and for focal mechanism orientation.
Y. Y. Kagan, D. D. Jackson
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Long-term forecast for the Dutch economy [PDF]
, 2006 A strong link exists between Randstad's temporary sta±ng services and Dutch GDP. The two annual series share a stochastic trend and two long-swing deterministic cycles. Causality appears to run from temporary sta±ng to GDP and not vice versa. These features are taken aboard in a simple forecasting model for Dutch GDP growth for the period 2005-2015 ...
Franses, Ph.H.B.F., de Groot, E.A.
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Long-term forecasting in Western Europe
Futures, 1975Abstract In the last decade several investigations into the scope of forecasting activities in Europe and elsewhere have confirmed that there is an increased awareness of the need for forecasting both inside and outside government. The focus of this comparative study is the practice of long-term forecasting in Western Europe and its contribution to ...
Sam Cole, John Clark, Melanie Archer
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PWDformer: Deformable transformer for long-term series forecasting
Pattern RecognitionLong-term forecasting is of paramount importance in numerous scenarios, including predicting future energy, water, and food consumption. For instance, extreme weather events and natural disasters can profoundly impact infrastructure operations and pose severe safety concerns.
Zheng Wang 0008 +3 more
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Long-Term Forecasts for International Tourism
Tourism Economics, 2004Modifications of earlier versions of models to make forecasts for world tourism allow us to trace the effects of changes in income and prices produced by and in each individual country considered in this model. At the theoretical level, in using a share approach these models could be viewed as similar to partial demand models based on the assumption ...
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Long-Term Forecasting of The Population's Demand
Problems in Economics, 1977Improving the well-being of the working people and bringing about the more complete satisfaction of the population's needs are the main guideposts of the economic policy of the Soviet state in the Tenth Five-Year Plan and in the extended future. Of particular importance in this connection is the elaboration of long-term forecasts of the population's ...
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Machine learning in long-term mortality forecasting
The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 2023Yang Qiao, Chou‐Wen Wang, Wenjun Zhu
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