Results 101 to 110 of about 5,972 (232)

The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy

Journal of Forecasting, Volume 45, Issue 6, Page 2703-2734, September 2026.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley   +1 more source

The Dynamics of the Policy Mix and Sectoral Gaps in South Korea's Decarbonization Transition

Environmental Policy and Governance, Volume 36, Issue 4, Page 988-1000, August 2026.
ABSTRACT While a coherent policy mix is a fundamental prerequisite for successful energy transitions, existing frameworks predominantly rely on static evaluations. This horizontal approach fails to capture the deep temporal dynamics and physical inertia inherent in socio‐technical regime shifts.
Yong Hwan Kim, Kyung Nam Kim
wiley   +1 more source

Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity

Journal of Forecasting, Volume 45, Issue 5, Page 2332-2354, August 2026.
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis, Dimitrios Bakas, Theodora Bermpei, Athanasios Triantafyllou   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Global Insights Into Term Spreads: Unveiling Their Predictive Power During Unconventional Monetary Policy

Journal of Forecasting, Volume 45, Issue 5, Page 2145-2159, August 2026.
ABSTRACT This study investigates the predictive power of the term spread for forecasting economic activity across both conventional and unconventional monetary policy regimes. Utilizing data from 22 OECD countries spanning the period from 1985Q1 to 2024Q2, the analysis reveals that the term spread generally maintains its ability to predict GDP growth ...
Petri Kuosmanen, Juuso Vataja
wiley   +1 more source

Macroeconomic trends and reforms in Germany

PSL Quarterly Review, 2010
This paper traces the main macroeconomic developments in the German economy from national unification. Its performance is compared with that of the rest of the euro area and its largest economies.
Roberto Sabbatini, Francesco Zollino
doaj   +1 more source

Spanish stock returns, growth, and inflation, 1900–2020

The Economic History Review, Volume 79, Issue 3, Page 922-956, August 2026.
Abstract This paper studies equity returns in the Madrid Stock Exchange and their connections with the macroeconomy from the emergence of a stock market around 1900 to its ‘big bang’ at the turn of the twenty‐first century. Using high‐quality data from primary sources and the methodology of the modern IBEX35 (published since 1987), we constructed an ...
Stefano Battilossi, Stefan O. Houpt, Miguel Artola Blanco   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Dynamics of High‐Growth Young Firms and the Role of Venture Capitalists

International Economic Review, Volume 67, Issue 3, Page 779-798, August 2026.
ABSTRACT Motivated by the substantial growth and upfront investments of venture capital (VC)‐backed firms observed in administrative US Census data, this study develops a life‐cycle firm dynamics model. In the model, startups choose the source of financing from VC, angel investors, or banks, depending on their growth potential, and invest in innovation.
Yoshiki Ando
wiley   +1 more source

Entry Costs and the Macroeconomy

IMF Working Papers, 2019
We combine a structural model with cross-sectional micro data to identify the causes and consequences of rising concentration in the US economy. Using asset prices and industry data, we estimate realized and anticipated shocks that drive entry and ...

semanticscholar   +1 more source

Towards a Theoretical Framework for an Analysis of Corruption

Lahore Journal of Economics
This is a conceptual paper on the analytics of the phenomena of economic corruption. And it is very much a working paper, begging comments. The paper concentrates on what appears on first reflection a redundant question -what is the impact of corruption?
Moazam Mahmud
doaj  

The effect of business cycle on the relationship between market structure and industrial performance in the Indonesian food and beverage industry

Cogent Economics & Finance
The Indonesian food and beverage industry contributes significantly to the economy of the country. However, previous studies have shown that the industry has a high industrial concentration and price-cost margin (PCM).
Hurriyah, Maman Setiawan, Rina Indiastuti, Berliana Anggun Septiani, Bayu Kharisma   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source