Results 91 to 100 of about 8,049 (188)
The U.S. Federal Deficit and Market Equity Returns
ABSTRACT Since the U.S. dollar has been operating as a fiat currency, there has been a strong link between U.S. government deficits as a percentage of GDP and forward‐looking equity returns. As federal deficits get larger, the expected return to the market over the subsequent 10 years increases. This effect is material.
Jason D. Fink, Kristin E. Fink
wiley +1 more source
Investigating the U.S. Oil-Macroeconomy Nexus using Rolling Impulse Responses [PDF]
This paper is concerned with the apparent change in the U.S. oil price-macroeconomy relationship. It is investigated to what extent this change can be accounted for by the large oil price surges witnessed in the 1970s.
Marc Gronwald
core
From theory to practice in macroeconomic models: post-Keynesian eclecticism
The paper analyses retrospectively the impact that the publication of The economists' "Manifesto" on unemployment in the EU has exerted on the European economic policies.
Ignazio Visco
doaj
The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy
ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley +1 more source
Oil price distortions and their short- and long-run impacts on the Nigerian economy [PDF]
Given its economic structure, high energy intensity and simultaneity as an oil importing and exporting economy, Nigeria stands out as a special case to study the oil-price-macroeconomy relation. This paper studies the linear and asymmetric impacts of oil
Effiong, Ekpeno +2 more
core
Simulation of the Effects Agricultural Products Price Stabilisation on Macroeconomic Variable [PDF]
A macroeconometric simulation study was undertaken to evaluate the impact of commodity price stabilisation (CPS) schemes for the export of Agricultural crop in Iran.
Rahim Goodarzi +2 more
doaj
Oil and the U.S. macroeconomy: an update and a simple forecasting exercise [PDF]
Some analysts and economists recently warned that the U.S. economy faces a much higher risk of recession should the price of oil rise to $100 per barrel or more. In February 2008, spot crude oil prices closed above $100 per barrel for the first time ever,
Kevin L. Kliesen
core
Report on operation of Chinese superhard industry in 2023
Objectives: It is important to analyze the status of each industry, which provides not only a direct vision but also a vital reference to all. Methods: The operation of China's superhard industry in 2023 was analyzed based on an in-depth investigation ...
Zhaoda SUN +4 more
doaj +3 more sources
ABSTRACT Urban economic forecasting is crucial for the formulation of a macroeconomic development strategy for a region toward harmonious socio‐economic and ecological progress. Cellular Automata (CA) enables fine‐grained urban economic modeling, but its conventional discrete‐state structure performs poorly when handling continuous economic variables ...
Yao Yao +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy [PDF]
This paper describes a method for calculating daily realtime estimates of the current state of the U.S. economy. The estimates are computed from data on scheduled U.S.
Evans, Martin D
core

