Results 151 to 160 of about 399,699 (283)

Optimal dividends for a NatCat insurer in the presence of a climate tipping point

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We study optimal dividend strategies for an insurance company facing natural catastrophe claims, anticipating the arrival of a climate tipping point after which the claim intensity and/or the claim size distribution of the underlying risks deteriorates irreversibly.
Hansjörg Albrecher   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Hidden Markov graphical models with state‐dependent generalized hyperbolic distributions

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract In this article, we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time‐varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and accommodate shape features embedded in financial time series, we rely upon the generalized hyperbolic family of ...
Beatrice Foroni   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Markov approach to credit rating migration conditional on economic states

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the impact of economic state fluctuations on default probabilities. The joint process for the economic state and the rating is modelled as a time‐homogeneous Markov chain. While the rating process itself possesses the Markov property only under restrictive conditions, methods ...
Michael Kalkbrener, Natalie Packham
wiley   +1 more source

Evaluating Semi-Markov Processes and Other Epidemiological Time-to-Event Models by Computing Disease Sojourn Density as Partial Differential Equations. [PDF]

open access: yesMed Decis Making
Worthington J   +8 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Home - About - Disclaimer - Privacy