Results 21 to 30 of about 314 (125)

Learning in the Limit: Income Inference from Credit Extensions

open access: yesThe Journal of Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Combining a randomized controlled trial with administrative and survey data, this paper shows that credit limit extensions significantly increase total spending and income expectations. By controlling for changes in personal income expectations, the spending response to credit limit extensions weakens by approximately 30%.
XIAO YIN
wiley   +1 more source

Functional Vašiček Model

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose a new formulation of the Vašičekmodel within the framework of functional data analysis. We treat observations (continuous‐time rates) within a suitably defined trading day as a single statistical object. We then consider a sequence of such objects, indexed by day.
Piotr Kokoszka   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Estimation of the Intercept Parameter in Integrated Galton–Watson Processes

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the estimation of the intercept parameter in an integrated Galton–Watson process, an important building block for many count‐valued time series models. In this unit root setting, the ordinary least squares estimator is known to be inconsistent, whereas the existing weighted least squares (WLS) estimator is consistent only in the case ...
Yang Lu
wiley   +1 more source

Penalized Convex Estimation in Dynamic Location Models

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper studies L1$$ {L}^1 $$‐penalized estimation for location models yt=mt+ϵt$$ {y}_t={m}_t+{\epsilon}_t $$, where mt$$ {m}_t $$ is defined by a possibly non‐Markovian recursion and ϵt$$ {\epsilon}_t $$ is a martingale difference sequence with possibly time‐varying conditional variance.
Reda Alami Chentoufi
wiley   +1 more source

Detecting Periodicity of a General Stationary Time Series via AR(2)‐Model Fitting

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Estimating the periodicity of a stationary time series via fitting a second‐order stationary autoregressive (AR(2)) model has been initiated by the seminal paper of Yule (1927). We investigate properties of this procedure when applied to general stationary processes possessing a spectral density with a dominant peak at some unknown frequency ...
Jens‐Peter Kreiss   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

open access: yesMathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Optimal Portfolio Choice With Cross‐Impact Propagators

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We consider a class of optimal portfolio choice problems in continuous time where the agent's transactions create both transient cross‐impact driven by a matrix‐valued Volterra propagator, as well as temporary price impact. We formulate this problem as the maximization of a revenue‐risk functional, where the agent also exploits available ...
Eduardo Abi Jaber   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Reinforcement Learning for Jump‐Diffusions, With Financial Applications

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study continuous‐time reinforcement learning (RL) for stochastic control in which system dynamics are governed by jump‐diffusion processes. We formulate an entropy‐regularized exploratory control problem with stochastic policies to capture the exploration–exploitation balance essential for RL.
Xuefeng Gao, Lingfei Li, Xun Yu Zhou
wiley   +1 more source

Conditional tail probabilities in continuous-time martingale LLN with application to parameter estimation in diffusions

open access: yesStochastic Processes and their Applications, 1994
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
openaire   +2 more sources

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