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A Global Optimization Algorithm for Minimizing Mean Absolute Percentage Error of Nonlinear Forecasting Model

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL ON Advances in Information Sciences and Service Sciences, 2012
In order to establish a high-precision nonlinear forecasting model, the paper presents a new global optimization technique for parameters optimization in nonlinear forecasting model based on the minimization of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). By implementation of an optimization technique based on the successive use of a genetic algorithm and of
Haijun Chen -   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source

Modelling DGM(1,1) under the Criterion of the Minimization of Mean Absolute Percentage Error

2009 Second International Symposium on Knowledge Acquisition and Modeling, 2009
In this paper, we present linear programming method in order to estimate the parameters of the DGM(1,1) model under the criterion of the minimization of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) (some authors called average relative error). A published article is chosen for practical tests of this method, the results show that this method can obviously ...
Lifeng Wu, Yinao Wang
openaire   +1 more source

Mean absolute percentage error and bias in economic forecasting

Economics Letters, 2011
Abstract This article develops a simple theoretical framework to show how forecasters may bias downward point predictions under the assumption that the asymmetric loss function is directly related to the (Mean) Absolute Percentage Error (M)APE.
openaire   +1 more source

Applicability of the Revised Mean Absolute Percentage Errors (MAPE) Approach to Some Popular Normal and Non-normal Independent Time Series

International Advances in Economic Research, 2009
Commonly used Mean Absolute Percentage Errors (MAPE) and the authors’ revised Mean Absolute Percentage Errors (RMAPE) are applied to measure the forecasting accuracy from different Moving Average Methods for independent time series. Simulation results show that both MAPE and RMAPE can only provide sensitive forecasting accuracy measurements on Moving ...
Louie Ren, Yong Glasure
openaire   +1 more source

Measuring Relative Accuracy: A Better Alternative to Mean Absolute Percentage Error

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2013
Surveys show that the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is the most widely used measure of forecast accuracy in businesses and organizations. It is also used to compare accuracy across multiple data sets, e.g. when choosing a forecasting method. Yet this metric systematically favours methods which under-forecast.
openaire   +1 more source

Mean Squared Error, Deconstructed

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2021
Timothy O Hodson   +2 more
exaly  

On Mean Absolute Error for Deep Neural Network Based Vector-to-Vector Regression

IEEE Signal Processing Letters, 2020
Jun Qi   +2 more
exaly  

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