Results 1 to 10 of about 2,891,271 (180)
Cancer Mortality Projections in Korea up to 2032. [PDF]
J Korean Med Sci, 2016 Predicting cancer mortality is important to estimate the needs of cancer-related services and to prevent cancer. Despite its significance, a long-term future projection of cancer mortality has not been conducted; therefore, our objective was to estimate future cancer mortality in Korea by cancer site through 2032.
Son M, Yun JW.
europepmc +4 more sources
How many infants may have died in low-income and middle-income countries in 2020 due to the economic contraction accompanying the COVID-19 pandemic? Mortality projections based on forecasted declines in economic growth. [PDF]
BMJ Open, 2021 Objectives While COVID-19 has a relatively small direct impact on infant mortality, the pandemic is expected to indirectly increase mortality of this vulnerable group in low-income and middle-income countries through its effects on the economy and health
Shapira G, de Walque D, Friedman J.
europepmc +2 more sources
Cancer incidence and mortality projections in the UK until 2035. [PDF]
Br J Cancer, 2016 Background:Cancer incidence and mortality projections are important for understanding the evolving landscape for cancer risk factors as well as anticipating future burden on the health service.Methods:We used an age–period–cohort model with natural cubic
Smittenaar CR +3 more
europepmc +2 more sources
Modeling the Risk in Mortality Projections
Operations Research, 2022 Capturing the Uncertainty in Long-Term Mortality Forecasts The uncertainty in future longevity presents a substantial risk factor for insurance companies, pension funds, and retirement systems. In “Modeling the Risk in Mortality Projections,” Zhu and Bauer present novel stochastic models for analyzing this longevity risk that focus on the uncertainty
Nan Zhu, Daniel Bauer
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Premature mortality projections in the USA through 2030: a modelling study. [PDF]
Lancet Public Health, 2018 BACKGROUND Although life expectancy has been projected to increase across high-income countries, gains for the USA are anticipated to be among the smallest, and overall US death rates actually increased from 2014 to 2015, with divergence for specific US ...
Best AF +8 more
europepmc +2 more sources
Mortality Projections for Small Populations: An Application to the Maltese Elderly
Risks, 2019 In small populations, mortality rates are characterized by a great volatility, the datasets are often available for a few years and suffer from missing data.
Massimiliano Menzietti +2 more
doaj +2 more sources
Evidence of rapid adaptation integrated into projections of temperature-related excess mortality
Environmental Research Letters, 2022 Few studies have used empirical evidence of past adaptation to project temperature-related excess mortality under climate change. Here, we assess adaptation in future projections of temperature-related excess mortality by employing evidence of shifting ...
Veronika Huber +4 more
doaj +2 more sources
Mortality Projections in Norway [PDF]
Demographic Research Monographs, 2019 The official population projections for Norway are produced and published by Statistics Norway. As in Finland, though not in Denmark and Sweden, the national statistical agency makes regional projections as well. The smallest geographical units projected are the 435 municipalities (kommuner), which range in size from about 250 (Utsira) to about ½ ...
H. Brunborg
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Estimation of Uncertainty in Mortality Projections Using State-Space Lee-Carter Model
Mathematics, 2020 The study develops alternatives of the classical Lee-Carter stochastic mortality model in assessment of uncertainty of mortality rates forecasts. We use the Lee-Carter model expressed as linear Gaussian state-space model or state-space model with ...
Rokas Gylys, Jonas Šiaulys
doaj +2 more sources
Projecting delay and compression of mortality [PDF]
Genus, 2018 Background Although mortality delay (the shift of the age-at-death distribution to older ages) and mortality compression (less variability in the age at death) are the key dynamics that drove past mortality trends, they have seldom been included in ...
Anastasios Bardoutsos +2 more
doaj +5 more sources