Results 1 to 10 of about 57,293 (117)
Cancer Mortality Projections in Korea up to 2032. [PDF]
J Korean Med Sci, 2016 Predicting cancer mortality is important to estimate the needs of cancer-related services and to prevent cancer. Despite its significance, a long-term future projection of cancer mortality has not been conducted; therefore, our objective was to estimate future cancer mortality in Korea by cancer site through 2032.
Son M, Yun JW.
europepmc +3 more sources
Cancer incidence and mortality projections in the UK until 2035 [PDF]
British Journal of Cancer, 2016 Stewart K
exaly +2 more sources
Bayesian Mixture Modelling for Mortality Projection [PDF]
Risks, 2021 Although a large number of mortality projection models have been proposed in the literature, relatively little attention has been paid to a formal assessment of the effect of model uncertainty. In this paper, we construct a Bayesian framework for embedding more than one mortality projection model and utilise the finite mixture model concept to allow ...
Jackie Li, Atsuyuki Kogure
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Mortality and refusal in the longitudinal 90+ project [PDF]
Archives of Gerontology and Geriatrics, 2011 Attrition is one of the most important threats for longitudinal studies on aging mainly due to refusal and mortality. This study deals with those individuals who were assessed in the base line of 90+ project but died, dropped out or were examined in the follow-up.
Fernández-Ballesteros, Rocío +5 more
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Mortality projections in Portugal [PDF]
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2012 Population forecasts are used for important policy decisions both in the public and private sector. Forecasts produced using the cohort-component method requires, for each cohort, a projection of the fertility, migration and mortality components. In this paper we describe the methodology used in the projection of the component mortality within the 2008
Bravo, Bravo +2 more
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Projection of lung cancer mortality in Japan [PDF]
Cancer Science, 2003 According to the National Vital Statistics data, age‐standardized mortality rates (ASRs) of lung cancer have shown slightly declining trends in Japan for both men and women. In order to evaluate whether this tendency will continue, a Bayesian age‐period‐cohort (APC) model was applied using the National Vital Statistics data from 1952 to 2001.
Satoshi, Kaneko +7 more
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Projecting Mortality Rates Using a Markov Chain [PDF]
Mathematics, 2022 We present a mortality model where future stochastic changes in population-wide mortality are driven by a finite-state hierarchical Markov chain. A baseline mortality in an initial ‘Alive’ state is calculated as the average logarithm of the observed mortality rates.
Jaap Spreeuw +2 more
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Mortality Projection Based on the Wang Transform [PDF]
ASTIN Bulletin, 2007 A new method for analysing and projecting mortality is proposed and examined. The method takes observed time series of survival probabilities, finds the corresponding z-scores in the standard normal distribution and forecasts the z-scores. The z-scores appear to follow a common simple linear progression in time and hence forecasting is straightforward.
De Jong, Piet, Marshall, Claymore
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Projecting delay and compression of mortality [PDF]
Genus, 2018 Abstract Background Although mortality delay (the shift of the age-at-death distribution to older ages) and mortality compression (less variability in the age at death) are the key dynamics that drove past mortality trends, they have seldom been included in mortality projections.
Bardoutsos, A., de Beer, J., Janssen, F.
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Experiments in the Projection of Mortality
Canadian Studies in Population, 1991 How fast will mortality fall in the decades ahead? One way of phrasing the question is in terms of past periods: will it be as fast as Canada showed in 1976-81 or only as fast as the average 1921-81 or as slow as 1926-31?...I will argue that the whole matter of projecting mortality comes down to deciding what past period describes the future.... The
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