Results 11 to 20 of about 2,891,390 (297)
Variability in temperature-related mortality projections under climate change. [PDF]
Environ Health Perspect, 2014 Background: Most studies that have assessed impacts on mortality of future temperature increases have relied on a small number of simulations and have not addressed the variability and sources of uncertainty in their mortality projections. Objectives: We
Benmarhnia T +6 more
europepmc +2 more sources
Temperature-attributable mortality projections under scenarios of climate change for Oslo, Norway [PDF]
BMC Public HealthBackground & Aim Climate change and evolving of population dynamics, including ageing and changes in population size, are reshaping temperature-attributable mortality patterns. However, there is limited evidence on the prospective trajectory of heat- and
Liliana Vázquez Fernández +3 more
doaj +2 more sources
Noncommunicable chronic diseases and health challenges in 2050 [PDF]
Revista Brasileira de EpidemiologiaObjectives: The study aims to analyze the burden of diseases related to noncommunicable chronic diseases (NCDs) and their risk factors (RFs) from 1990 to 2021 and to project of NCDs and RFs for the years 2030 and 2050.
Deborah Carvalho Malta +3 more
doaj +5 more sources
Projections of global mortality and burden of disease from 2002 to 2030.
PLoS Medicine, 2006 BackgroundGlobal and regional projections of mortality and burden of disease by cause for the years 2000, 2010, and 2030 were published by Murray and Lopez in 1996 as part of the Global Burden of Disease project.
Colin D Mathers, Dejan Loncar
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Life Expectancy Changes and Their Consequences for Pension System in Finland and the Czech Republic [PDF]
Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal, 2023 Finland and the Czech Republic are among the countries where population ageing has been the most pronounced in the last decade. The aim of the paper is to describe future development of life expectancy in the context of pension system reforms that are ...
Ondřej Šimpach
doaj +1 more source
Premature mortality projections to inform clinical practice and public health priorities [PDF]
The Lancet Regional Health. Western PacificSheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam +3 more
doaj +2 more sources
Bayesian Mixture Modelling for Mortality Projection [PDF]
Risks, 2021 Although a large number of mortality projection models have been proposed in the literature, relatively little attention has been paid to a formal assessment of the effect of model uncertainty. In this paper, we construct a Bayesian framework for embedding more than one mortality projection model and utilise the finite mixture model concept to allow ...
Jackie Li, Atsuyuki Kogure
openaire +3 more sources
Bayesian Poisson log-bilinear mortality projections [PDF]
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2005 Mortality projections are major concerns for public policy, social security and private insurance. This paper implements a Bayesian log-bilinear Poisson regression model to forecast mortality. Computations are carried out using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods in which the degree of smoothing is learnt from the data.
Czado, Claudia +2 more
openaire +6 more sources
Disruption of Life Insurance Profitability in the Aftermath of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Risks, 2022 Life insurance profitability depends on reliable mortality risk projections and pricing. While the COVID-19 pandemic has caused disruptions around the world, this is a temporary mortality shock likely to dissipate.
Maria Carannante +4 more
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Risks, 2022 The Lee–Carter model, the dominant mortality projection modeling in the literature, was criticized for its homoscedastic error assumption. This was corrected in extensions to the model based on the assumption that the number of deaths follows Poisson or ...
Yaser Awad, Shaul K. Bar-Lev, Udi Makov
doaj +1 more source