Error and optimism bias regularization [PDF]
Journal of Big Data, 2023 In Machine Learning, prediction quality is usually measured using different techniques and evaluation methods. In the regression models, the goal is to minimize the distance between the actual and predicted value.
Nassim Sohaee
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Brain Structure and Optimism Bias: A Voxel-Based Morphometry Approach [PDF]
Brain Sciences, 2022 Individuals often anticipate an unrealistically favorable future for themselves (personal optimism bias) or others (social optimism bias). While such biases are well established, little is known about their neuroanatomy.
Raviteja Kotikalapudi +3 more
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Optimism bias and its relation to scenario valence, gender, sociality, and insecure attachment [PDF]
Scientific Reports, 2022 Optimism bias refers to the tendency to display unjustified high/low expectations of future positive/negative events. This study asked 202 participants to estimate the likelihood of 96 different events.
Mihai Dricu +2 more
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Sociality of future outcomes moderates the effects of warmth and competence on social optimism bias [PDF]
Scientific Reports, 2022 People are overoptimistic about the future of those they like or admire (social optimism bias), expecting significantly more desirable than undesirable outcomes. By contrast, they are pessimistic about those they don’t like.
Mihai Dricu +2 more
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An Active Inference Model of the Optimism Bias [PDF]
Computational PsychiatryThe optimism bias is a cognitive bias where individuals overestimate the likelihood of good outcomes and underestimate the likelihood of bad outcomes. Associated with improved quality of life, optimism bias is considered to be adaptive and is a promising
Elizabeth L. Fisher +2 more
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CEO Regulatory Focus, Analysts’ Optimism Bias, and Firm Strategic Change: Evidence From Chinese-Listed Companies [PDF]
Frontiers in Psychology, 2022 With the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, technological, socio-political, and institutional changes have led to a “new normal” competitive landscape, firms must make longer-term strategic changes to deal with short-term ...
Chun Huang, Wangxiongjie Zheng
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Predictive modeling of optimism bias using gray matter cortical thickness [PDF]
Scientific Reports, 2023 People have been shown to be optimistically biased when their future outcome expectancies are assessed. In fact, we display optimism bias (OB) toward our own success when compared to a rival individual’s (personal OB [POB]).
Raviteja Kotikalapudi +4 more
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Mediating Role of Optimism Bias and Risk Perception Between Emotional Intelligence and Decision-Making: A Serial Mediation Model [PDF]
Frontiers in Psychology, 2022 The commodity market plays a vital role in boosting the economy. Investors make decisions based on market knowledge and ignore cognitive biases. These cognitive biases or judgment errors have a significant effect on investment decisions.
Chaoran Chen +4 more
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Optimism bias, judgment of severity, and behavioral change during two stages of the pandemics in China [PDF]
Scientific ReportsWe investigated the factors and consequences of optimism bias during two critical periods of the COVID-19 outbreak in China. In February 2020, we conducted Study 1 (N = 4313) to examine the initial outbreak.
Dannuo Lyu, Fanli Jia, Xiaosong Gai
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Learning to Look at the Bright Side of Life: Attention Bias Modification Training Enhances Optimism Bias [PDF]
Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 2019 Identifying neurocognitive mechanisms underlying optimism bias is essential to understand its benefits for well-being and mental health. The combined cognitive biases hypothesis suggests that biases (e.g., in expectancies and attention) interact and ...
Laura Kress, Tatjana Aue
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