Results 41 to 50 of about 1,617,765 (306)
, 2021 In assessing prediction accuracy of multivariable prediction models, optimism corrections are essential for preventing biased results. However, in most published papers of clinical prediction models, the point estimates of the prediction accuracy ...
Furukawa, Toshi A. +4 more
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Adaptation, Anticipation-Bias and Optimal Income Taxation [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012 Adaptation is omnipresent but people systematically fail to correctly anticipate the degree to which they adapt. This leads individuals to make inefficient intertemporal decisions. This paper concerns optimal income taxation to correct for such anticipation-biases in a framework where consumers adapt to earlier consumption levels through a habit ...
Aronsson, Thomas, Schöb, Ronnie
openaire +7 more sources
Current Biology, 2011 SummaryThe ability to anticipate is a hallmark of cognition. Inferences about what will occur in the future are critical to decision making, enabling us to prepare our actions so as to avoid harm and gain reward. Given the importance of these future projections, one might expect the brain to possess accurate, unbiased foresight.
openaire +2 more sources
The effect of induced optimism on the optimistic update bias
BMC Psychology, 2020 Background Individuals tend to have an optimism bias, processing desirable information more frequently than undesirable information. However, people who have been diagnosed with depression often have a more pessimistic view of the future.
Shinpei Yoshimura, Yuma Hashimoto
doaj +1 more source
Staying over-optimistic about the future : uncovering attentional biases to climate change messages [PDF]
, 2017 There is considerable concern that the public are not getting the message about climate change. One possible explanation is ‘optimism bias’, where individuals overestimate the likelihood of positive events happening to them and underestimate the ...
Beattie, G +3 more
core +4 more sources
Can hierarchical predictive coding explain binocular rivalry? [PDF]
, 2021 Hohwy et al.’s (2008) model of binocular rivalry (BR) is taken as a classic illustration of predictive coding’s explanatory power. I revisit the account and show that it cannot explain the role of reward in BR.
Haas, Julia
core
The Influence of Optimism Bias on Time and Cost on Construction Projects
, 2021 The unresolved scholarly debate to curtail cost and time performances in projects has led to alternate solutions, departing from the dominant technical school of thought to include concepts from behavioural sciences.
A. Chadee, S. R. Hernandez, H. Martín
semanticscholar +1 more source
Relationships Between Self-Rated Health at Three Time Points: Past, Present, Future
Frontiers in Psychology, 2022 Background: Multiple studies have shown that people who have experienced a serious health problem such as an injury tend to overrate the quality of health they had before that event.
Andreas Hinz +6 more
doaj +1 more source
The Human Element of Decision Making in Systems Engineers: A Focus on Optimism [PDF]
, 2009 Biases continue to be an important aspect of human judgment and decision making because they can lead to unfavorable outcomes. Optimism bias is one type of bias that is often overlooked because of its association with good health and positive outcomes ...
Aristotle +33 more
core +3 more sources
Natural Hazards, 2021 Drowning accidents at beach in Japan are caused by rip currents. To reduce these accidents, a new technology that can detect rip currents and notify beachgoers by using the Internet of Things (IoT) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) was proposed.
Shintaro Endo +3 more
semanticscholar +1 more source