A tutorial on Bayesian model averaging for exponential random graph models
Abstract The use of exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is becoming prevalent in psychology due to their ability to explain and predict the formation of edges between vertices in a network. Valid inference with ERGMs requires correctly specifying endogenous and exogenous effects as network statistics, guided by theory, to represent the network ...
Ihnwhi Heo +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A crisis of overconfidence: Why confidence, not accuracy, is the real risk in clinical AI. [PDF]
Berkowitz JS +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT Traditional techniques for evaluating creative outcomes are typically based on evaluations made by human experts. These methods suffer from challenges such as subjectivity, biases, limited availability, ‘crowding’, and high transaction costs. We propose that large language models (LLMs) can be used to overcome these shortcomings.
Theresa Kranzle, Katelyn Sharratt
wiley +1 more source
Addressing financial biases in university undergraduates: Unveiling connections with knowledge, behaviours and attitudes. [PDF]
López-Penabad C +2 more
europepmc +1 more source
What Works Where? Scrutinizing How Personal Resources Spur Managers' Innovative Work Behaviour
ABSTRACT Whereas innovative work behaviour (IWB) is regarded as a desired positive behaviour for all organizational members, existing research has predominantly focused on employees, while only sparingly scrutinizing the IWB among managerial levels. To address this gap, we draw on upper echelons and positive organizational behaviour perspectives to ...
Rrezon Lajçi +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Diagnostic accuracy and metacognition in dermatology: A cross-sectional analysis of confidence and decision-making. [PDF]
Helm M +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Addressing environmental misperceptions for nature recovery
Abstract A poorly understood and systemic challenge to global conservation agreements is shifting baseline syndrome (SBS), wherein people misperceive the extent to which nature has changed. This can diminish societal expectations for nature recovery. We broadened the conceptual framing of SBS beyond the more common elements of nature loss to include ...
Shuo Gao +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Differential pathways from personality to risk-taking: how extraversion and negative emotionality shape decision-making through overconfidence. [PDF]
He Y, Lei P.
europepmc +1 more source
Hobbyist preferences for pet freshwater turtles
Abstract The burgeoning pet trade is a primary threat to wild freshwater turtles worldwide. Although the risks from commercial exploitation of turtles have been discussed widely, there is little empirical research on preferences for pet turtles from a hobbyists’ perspective.
Jingjing Zhao +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Overconfidence in ability to discern cancer misinformation: a conceptual replication and extension. [PDF]
Lyons B, King AJ, Kaphingst KA.
europepmc +1 more source

