Results 141 to 150 of about 20,918 (295)
Are Brazilian corn farmers overconfident about prices? [PDF]
This paper aims to identify signs of overconfidence among corn producers in south and central-west Brazil. Over the period from October to November 2008, farmers were chosen to answer questions regarding their knowledge of futures markets and price ...
Cruz Junior, Jose Cesar
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Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.Overconfident sea ice forecasts pose a challenge in subseasonal prediction. To test a potential way to address this issue and account for sea ice model uncertainty, this article investigates a stochastically perturbed parametrisations (SPP) scheme for sea ice in a prototype CY49R2 configuration of the coupled IFS‐NEMO4‐SI3 system. The results show that
Jonas Spaeth +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Overconfidence or Something Else: [PDF]
, 2016 The question whether overconfidence is truly a psychological bias has attracted considerable attention in the overconfidence literature. Several studies have suggested that people only appear overconfident as a result of the experimental design, or some ...
Sbrizaj, M.
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Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.This study evaluates the subseasonal predictive skill of tropical–extratropical cloud bands across four subtropical convergence zones in ECMWF reforecasts (2003–2022). Results show that, while exact daily predictions are limited to one week, accounting for temporal displacement improves forecast skill significantly, revealing a systematic early onset ...
Romain Pilon, Daniela I.V. Domeisen
wiley +1 more source
Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, EarlyView.Remote sensing can reveal population dynamics of Antarctic penguin colonies. In this study, we analyze emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) guano stains in remote sensing imagery and discover colony presence predating known records for 18 colonies across Antarctica.
Martynas Bielinis +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Behavioral finance as a subdiscipline of behavioral economics is finance incorporating findings from psychology and sociology into its theories. Behavioral finance models are usually developed to explain investor behavior or market anomalies when ...
Glaser, Markus +2 more
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Overconfidence in Political Behavior [PDF]
, 2015 This paper studies, theoretically and empirically, the role of overconfidence in political behavior. Our model of overconfidence in beliefs predicts that overconfidence leads to ideological extremeness, increased voter turnout, and stronger partisan ...
Snowberg, Erik, Ortoleva, Pietro
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Uncertainty Characterization Framework for Machine Learning Based ACM in Q‐Band Satellite Links
International Journal of Satellite Communications and Networking, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Adaptive coding and modulation (ACM) is a widely utilized technique in satellite communication networks to mitigate the adverse effects of rain fades, particularly in extremely high frequency (EHF) bands. As a core component of fade mitigation techniques (FMTs), ACM improves signal resilience.
Kamolideen Abolarinwa +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Sustainable Development, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Climate change, political stability, and sustainability are three central factors that interact and serve as key drivers of achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in the MENA (Middle East and North Africa) region. Accordingly, this paper aims to fill a vital research gap by examining the impacts of climate change, natural resource ...
Hicham Ayad +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Sustainable Development, EarlyView.ABSTRACT The integration of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) criteria into sustainable development exposes critical limitations in traditional cost modelling for Asset Lifecycle Management. Through a systematic review of 64 studies (2016–2025), this research identifies gaps including the compartmentalisation of ESG factors, methodological ...
Ziru Tao +4 more
wiley +1 more source