Results 161 to 170 of about 15,208,782 (347)

Quantifying driving ensemble influence on operational convection‐permitting ensemble spread

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
By comparing statistics of precipitation patterns between a convection‐permitting ensemble and the global ensemble used to drive it, we investigate the conditions under which the convection‐permitting ensemble diverges from the evolution of the driving ensemble.
Adam Gainford, Suzanne L. Gray, Thomas H. A. Frame, Aurore N. Porson, Marco Milan   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Ambiguity and Gender Differences in Financial Decision Making: An Experimental Examination of Competence and Confidence Effects. [PDF]

This paper reports the results of an experiment that brings together psychological measures of competence and overconfidence with laboratory economic measures of individual valuations of uncertainty.
Jamie Kruse, Matthias Gysler, Renate Schubert   +2 more
core  

Overconfidence bias and investment performance: A mediating effect of risk propensity

Borsa Istanbul Review, 2022
Syed Zain ul Abdin, Fiza Qureshi, Jawad Iqbal, Sayema Sultana   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Are we misdiagnosing ensemble forecast reliability? On the insufficiency of spread–error and rank‐based reliability metrics

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We demonstrate that the spread–error relationship, rank histogram, and continuous rank probability score reliability component can falsely indicate reliability under climatological variance biases, yielding ensemble members that are overly or insufficiently extreme.
Arlan Dirkson, Mark Buehner
wiley   +1 more source

Bivariate postprocessing of wind vectors

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We introduce three novel bivariate postprocessing approaches and analyze their performance for joint postprocessing of bivariate wind‐vector components in Germany. Bivariate vine‐copula‐based models, a bivariate gradient‐boosted version of ensemble model output statistics (EMOS), and a bivariate distributional regression network (DRN) are compared with
Ferdinand Buchner, David Jobst, Annette Möller, Claudia Czado   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Are Overconfident CEOs Better Innovators? [PDF]

Using options- and press-based proxies for CEO overconfidence (Malmendier and Tate 2005a, 2005b, 2008), we find that over the 1993-2003 period, firms with overconfident CEOs have greater return volatility, invest more in innovation, obtain more patents ...
Hirshleifer, David, Low, Angie, Teoh, Siew Hong   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Physics‐Informed Neural Networks for Battery Degradation Prediction Under Random Walk Operations

Quality and Reliability Engineering International, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study addresses the challenge of predicting the state of health (SoH) and capacity degradation in Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) under highly variable conditions induced by frequent control adjustments. In environments where random walk behavior prevails due to stochastic control commands, conventional estimation methods often ...
Alaa Selim, Huadong Mo, Hemanshu Pota, Daoyi Dong   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Historical remote sensing highlights long‐term persistence of Emperor Penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) colonies

Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, EarlyView.
Remote sensing can reveal population dynamics of Antarctic penguin colonies. In this study, we analyze emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) guano stains in remote sensing imagery and discover colony presence predating known records for 18 colonies across Antarctica.
Martynas Bielinis, Michelle LaRue, Benjamin M. Kraemer, Catalina Munteanu   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

“Taking Off the Rose‐Colored Glasses”: How Justice‐Centered Science Curricula Engages Prehealth Undergraduates' in Critical Consciousness

Science Education, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Health disparities rooted in systemic oppression and perpetuated by implicit bias among medical professionals remain pervasive across North America. These inequities are often sustained by providers' limited awareness of social realities that shape the lives of people from marginalized communities.
Sabah K. Elias, Francisca Dogbe, Ashley R. Acosta‐Parra, Arsema Alemayehu, Faizah Asif, Yajing Feng, Jacob Francisco Gomez, Isabella Morimoto, Ofelia Preciado, Dathan Tran, Ross Wohlgemuth, Lucas R. Smith, Eric J. Crossen, Brie Tripp   +13 more
wiley   +1 more source

Visionary, engineer, and experimenter: Three forms of entrepreneurship in the quest for product–market fit

Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal, EarlyView.
Abstract Research summary Entrepreneurship unfolds under uncertainty, which complicates entrepreneurs' efforts to align idea, action, and environment to reach product–market fit. To illuminate how entrepreneurs perform such alignment, we complement the theory‐based view and its focus on cognitive uncertainty with a discussion of behavioral uncertainty.
Thomas Zellweger, Djordje Djokovic
wiley   +1 more source