Data reconciliation in multi‐trait experiments with kinship ordination
Methods in Ecology and Evolution, EarlyView.Abstract A central aim in biology is understanding the heritability of traits and how trait interactions contribute to success in diverse environments. Experiments that record multiple traits from individuals of known pedigree or genetic relatedness in distinct environments are key to addressing this aim.
Justin J. Van Ee +11 more
wiley +1 more source
Investor Competence, Trading Frequency, and Home Bias [PDF]
People are more willing to bet on their own judgments when they feel skillful or knowledgeable (Heath and Tversky (1991)). We investigate whether this "competence effect" influences trading frequency and home bias.
Campbell R. Harvey +2 more
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The Bold Surgeon Syndrome: Contemporary Analysis of Overconfidence, Training Gaps, and Patient Safety in Plastic Surgery. [PDF]
Plast Reconstr Surg Glob OpenCárdenas-Camarena L +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Methods in Ecology and Evolution, EarlyView.Abstract Preregistration is an open science practice which aims to improve research transparency and mitigate questionable research practices, like cherry‐picking results. It helps protect against cognitive biases, like hindsight bias, that can influence how study outcomes are interpreted.
Elliot Gould +9 more
wiley +1 more source
Speculating against an overconfident market [PDF]
We distinguish two components of self-confidence in a financial market: private confidence measures the self-confidence level of speculators, while public confidence measures the confidence level they attribute to their competitors.
Jordi Caballe, Jozsef Sakovics
core
Metacognition and diagnostic decision-making: short "blips" of knowledge and the consequences of overconfidence. [PDF]
Cogn Res Princ ImplicHong SS, Son LK, Kim K.
europepmc +1 more source
The effect of CEO adverse professional experience on management forecast pessimism
Accounting &Finance, Volume 65, Issue 1, Page 219-250, March 2025.Abstract We examine how CEOs' past experiences of corporate distress affect their subsequent forecast behaviour. We find that CEOs who experienced distress in a non‐CEO position at another firm issue more pessimistic management earnings forecasts after becoming CEO at their current firm.
Eunice S. Khoo +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Wealth, Volume and Stock Market Volatility: Case of Hong Kong (1993-2001) [PDF]
This paper attempts to answer the question of whether the gain and loss in property market speculations and rate of information flow play a significant role in stock market volatility in Hong Kong. To test for our wealth-volume-volatility hypothesis, two
Matthew C. Li
core
The Dunning-Kruger Effect in Plastic Surgery: A Cognitive Framework for Understanding Surgical Overconfidence. [PDF]
Plast Reconstr Surg Glob OpenCárdenas-Camarena L.
europepmc +1 more source
Monetary Policy, Investor Sentiment and Stock Price Bubble: Evidence From China
Accounting &Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT The empirical results indicate that an increase in interest rates may stimulate a significant and persistent stock price bubble, which is consistent with rational asset price bubble theory. This finding suggests that central banks should implement anti‐turbulent monetary policy with caution, since inappropriate tightening may unintentionally ...
Jiahao Gong +3 more
wiley +1 more source