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Seasonal forecasting of dissolved organic carbon in a Mediterranean catchment: Enhancing upstream control of disinfection by-product precursors. [PDF]
Pedregal-Montes A +6 more
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FaXNet: a frequency-adaptive, explainable, and uncertainty-aware network for influenza forecasting. [PDF]
He W +6 more
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Protocol-aware epidemic forecasting across heterogeneous public health surveillance systems. [PDF]
Hu Y, Han J, Liu M.
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Physics-guided networks for probabilistic hydrodynamic forecasting in canal systems. [PDF]
Liu W +5 more
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Herding in Probabilistic Forecasts
Management Science, 2020Decision makers often ask experts to forecast a future state. Experts, however, can be biased. In the economics and psychology literature, one extensively studied behavioral bias is called herding. Under strong levels of herding, disclosure of public information may lower forecasting accuracy.
Yanwei Jia +2 more
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Probabilistic Networks as Probabilistic Forecasters
2003To establish its clinical value, a probabilistic network is typically subjected to an evaluation study using real patient data from the field of application. The results of such a study are often summarised in the percentage of correctly predicted outcomes. In this paper, we propose the use of a forecasting score as an alternative way of expressing the
Linda C. van der Gaag, Silja Renooij
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Probabilistic demand forecasting at scale
Proceedings of the VLDB Endowment, 2017We present a platform built on large-scale, data-centric machine learning (ML) approaches, whose particular focus is demand forecasting in retail. At its core, this platform enables the training and application of probabilistic demand forecasting models, and provides convenient abstractions and support functionality
Joos-Hendrik Boese +8 more
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Probabilistic Load Forecasting
2021Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is able to present the uncertainty information of the future loads. It is the basis of stochastic power system planning and operation. Recent works on PLF mainly focus on how to develop and combine forecasting models; while the feature selection issue has not been thoroughly investigated for PLF.
Qixin Chen +3 more
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