Results 31 to 40 of about 1,572,188 (318)

The probability of causation1 [PDF]

open access: yesLaw, Probability and Risk, 2017
Abstract Many legal cases require decisions about causality, responsibility or blame, and these may be based on statistical data. However, causal inferences from such data are beset by subtle conceptual and practical difficulties, and in general it is, at best, possible to identify the ‘probability of causation’ as lying between certain ...
Dawid, A. Philip   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Probability thermodynamics and probability quantum field

open access: yesJournal of Mathematical Physics, 2023
We introduce probability thermodynamics and probability quantum fields. By probability we mean that there is an unknown operator, physical or nonphysical, whose eigenvalues obey a certain statistical distribution. Eigenvalue spectra define spectral functions.
Ping Zhang   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Decision-making under risk and uncertainty and its application in strategic management

open access: yesJournal of Business Economics and Management, 2014
We introduce a new decision-making model that unifies risk and uncertain environments in the same formulation. For doing so, we present the induced probabilistic ordered weighted averaging (IPOWA) operator.
José M. Merigó
doaj   +1 more source

Global Changes in 20‐Year, 50‐Year, and 100‐Year River Floods

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, 2021
Concepts like the 100‐year flood event can be misleading if they are not updated to reflect significant changes over time. Here, we model observed annual maximum daily streamflow using a nonstationary approach to provide the first global picture of ...
L. Slater   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

An Eye-Tracking Study of Statistical Reasoning With Tree Diagrams and 2 × 2 Tables

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2019
Changing the information format from probabilities into frequencies as well as employing appropriate visualizations such as tree diagrams or 2 × 2 tables are important tools that can facilitate people’s statistical reasoning.
Georg Bruckmaier   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Good Fences Make for Good Neighbors but Bad Science: A Review of What Improves Bayesian Reasoning and Why

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2015
Bayesian reasoning, defined here as the updating of a posterior probability following new information, has historically been problematic for humans. Classic psychology experiments have tested human Bayesian reasoning through the use of word problems and ...
Gary L. Brase, W. Trey eHill
doaj   +1 more source

Multivariate Juggling Probabilities

open access: yes, 2014
We consider refined versions of Markov chains related to juggling introduced by Warrington. We further generalize the construction to juggling with arbitrary heights as well as infinitely many balls, which are expressed more succinctly in terms of Markov
Ayyer, Arvind   +3 more
core   +4 more sources

Entrepreneurship and Decision-Making in Latin America

open access: yesInnovar: Revista de Ciencias Administrativas y Sociales, 2014
The principal purpose of this paper is to analyze different methods for decision making, with a focus on entrepreneurship in Latin America. Decision-making methods may be informed by aggregation operators that are based on the use of probabilities ...
José M. Merigó, Marta Peris-Ortiz
doaj   +1 more source

Probabilities from envariance?

open access: yes, 2004
Zurek claims to have derived Born's rule noncircularly in the context of an ontological no-collapse interpretation of quantum states, without any "deus ex machina imposition of the symptoms of classicality." After a brief review of Zurek's derivation it ...
Gleason A. M.   +5 more
core   +1 more source

Multiconditional probabilities

open access: yesLietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys, 2021
We introduce a generalization of (Kolmogorovian) conditional probabilities.
Remigijus Petras Gylys
doaj   +1 more source

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