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Psychophysics of the Probability Weighting Function [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2011
A probability weighting function w(p) for an objective probability p in decision under risk plays a pivotal role in Kahneman-Tversky's prospect theory. Although recent studies in econophysics and neuroeconomics widely utilized probability weighting functions, psychophysical foundations of the probability weighting functions have been unknown.
Takahashi, Taiki, Taiki Takahashi
openaire   +5 more sources

Curvature of the Probability Weighting Function [PDF]

open access: yesManagement Science, 1996
When individuals choose among risky alternatives, the psychological weight attached to an outcome may not correspond to the probability of that outcome. In rank-dependent utility theories, including prospect theory, the probability weighting function permits probabilities to be weighted nonlinearly. Previous empirical studies of the weighting function
George Wu, Richard Gonzalez
openaire   +2 more sources

Insurance and Probability Weighting Functions [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2006
Evidence shows that (i) people overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, but (ii) ignore events of extremely low probability and treat extremely high probability events as certain. Decision models, such as rank dependent utility (RDU) and cumulative prospect theory (CP), use probability weighting functions.
Ali al-Nowaihi, Sanjit Dhami
core   +4 more sources

A Note on the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function [PDF]

open access: yes, 2018
The focus of this contribution is on the transformation of objective probability, which in Prospect Theory is commonly referred as probability weighting. Empirical evidence suggests a typical inverse-S shaped function: decision makers tend to overweight small probabilities, and underweight medium and high probabilities; moreover, the probability ...
Martina Nardon, Paolo Pianca
openaire   +3 more sources

A Testing Method of Probability Weighting Functions From an Axiomatic Perspective [PDF]

open access: yesFrontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 2018
This study presents a testing approach to examine various models of probability weighting functions that are considered nonlinear functions of probability in behavioral decision theory, such as prospect theory.
Kazuhisa Takemura   +2 more
doaj   +2 more sources

What Determines the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function Under Uncertainty?

open access: yesManagement Science, 2001
Decision weights are an important component in recent theories of decision making under uncertainty. To better explain these decision weights, a two-stage approach has been proposed: First, the probability of an event is judged and then this probability is transformed by the probability weighting function known from decision making under risk.
Kilka, Michael, Weber, Martin
openaire   +3 more sources

Probability Weighting Functions [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2015
Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) has been proposed as an alternative to expected utility theory to explain irregular behavior by economic agents. CPT comprises two key transformations: one of outcome values and the other of objective probabilities. Risk attitudes are derived from the shapes of these transformations as well as their interaction.
Martina Nardon, Paolo Pianca
openaire   +1 more source

What Determines the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function? [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2006
Economics Working Paper Series, 06 ...
Helga Fehr-Duda   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

A simple derivation of Prelec's probability weighting function [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Mathematical Psychology, 2006
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Al-Nowaihi, Ali, Dhami, Sanjit
openaire   +3 more sources

On a derivation of the Goldstein–Einhorn probability weighting functions [PDF]

open access: yesAequationes mathematicae, 2020
AbstractThe well known Goldstein–Einhorn probability weighting functions have been characterized by Gonzalez and Wu using the linear in log odds preference condition. We provide an alternative way of deriving this class of functions. It is based on the concept of indifference prices.
openaire   +1 more source

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