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Prognostic models – Their use and abuse

Best Practice & Research Clinical Gastroenterology, 2023
NA
Neuberger, James, Fuccio, Lorenzo
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Prognostic modeling in biliary diseases

Current Opinion in Gastroenterology, 2023
Purpose of review To discuss the prognostic models for the cholestatic diseases focusing on primary sclerosing cholangitis and primary biliary cholangitis. Recent findings Noninvasive prognostic models that outperform alkaline phosphatase and Mayo Risk Score have been developed to ...
Camelia, Ciobanu, Mark W, Russo
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A prognostic model for head injury

Acta Neurochirurgica, 1979
A prognostic model for head injured patients was developed. Patients fall into one of four prognostic categories at the end of the first hospital day: I. Discharge alive on or before the seventh hospital day. II. Discharge alive 8--42 days after admission. III. Discharge alive after 42 days, or dead after five years. IV.
W A, Stewart, S P, Litten, P R, Sheehe
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Prognostic Models and the Propensity Score

International Journal of Epidemiology, 1995
Subjects in observational studies of exposure effects have not been randomized to exposure groups and may therefore differ systematically with regard to variables related to exposure and/or outcome. To obtain unbiased estimates and tests of exposure effects one needs to adjust for these variables.
C, Drake, L, Fisher
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Prognostic models in the clinical arena

Aging Clinical and Experimental Research, 2012
Making a prognosis is to predict the course of a disease and estimate the probability (or risk) of the appearance of a given outcome in relationship to clinical or non-clinical characteristics. Prognostic assessment is usually modelled by multivariable mathematic equations (prognostic models). In this article we describe what a prognostic model is, how
Bolignano Davide   +7 more
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Prognostic models in the myeloproliferative neoplasms

Blood Reviews, 2020
The management of myelofibrosis (MF) is predominantly supportive, with the use of JAK2 inhibitors or allogeneic stem cell transplantation reserved for patients predicted to have poor overall survival. Identification of these patients is aided by a number of prognostic scoring systems, foremost among them the Dynamic International Prognostic Scoring ...
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Prognostic models in myelodysplastic syndromes

Hematology, 2013
Abstract Establishing the prognosis for patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) is a key element of their care. It helps patients understand the severity of their disease and set expectations for their future. For physicians, an accurate estimate of prognosis drives decisions about the timing and choice of therapeutic options to ...
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A Modelling Ecosystem for Prognostics

Annual Conference of the PHM Society, 2016
This paper evaluates data-driven asset prognostic models from a modelling ecosystem perspective, which includes data description, uncertainty quantification, model selection justification and validation, and application limitations. An easily accessible and comprehensive ecosystem enables efficient reproducibility of previous work to facilitate both ...
Lachlan Astfalck   +4 more
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Caution when using prognostic models: A prospective comparison of 3 recent prognostic models

Journal of Critical Care, 2012
Prognostic models have been developed to estimate mortality and to compare outcomes in different intensive care units. However, these models need to be validated before their use in different populations. In this study, we assessed the performance of 3 recently developed general prognostic models (Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation [APACHE]
Antonio Paulo, Nassar   +6 more
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