A positive feedback loop between sensory and octopaminergic neurons underlies nociceptive plasticity in Drosophila larvae. [PDF]
Boivin JC +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self‐exciting flexible residual point process. High‐frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy‐tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge for accurate prediction.
Kyungsub Lee
wiley +1 more source
Do carbon policy shocks move stocks? evidence from China's carbon market. [PDF]
Peng J, Zeng Y, Fu S, Tian J.
europepmc +1 more source
Loss‐Aware Forecast Construction for Realized Variance
ABSTRACT Forecasts of realized variance are commonly constructed from models of log‐realized variance and then transformed back to the original scale. However, the resulting forecasts are often evaluated using loss functions defined in relative rather than absolute terms, creating a potential mismatch between forecast construction and forecast ...
Nick Taylor
wiley +1 more source
Climate Risks and the Risk Premia of AI Stocks: Some Forecasting Experiments
ABSTRACT This study examines whether physical and transition climate‐risk measures predict the risk premia of AI‐related stocks, and whether incorporating these risks improves forecast performance relative to benchmark models. The findings suggest that global transition climate shocks lower the premia of AI stocks, while US climate policy increases ...
Afees A. Salisu, Abeeb O. Olaniran
wiley +1 more source
An In Vitro Model to Study Drugs That Affect Macrophage Adhesion to Murine Brain Endothelial Cells After Proinflammatory Insults of LPS and Pilocarpine. [PDF]
Rivera-Rivera AJ +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
The gains from machine learning in nowcasting and forecasting food insecurity are still small and limited and cannot be observed in all countries. This review summarizes the public resources for data, corrects common misconceptions about model requirements, and establishes baseline requirements, explanations, causal inference, and equity in operational
Shabnam Mehboob +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Multi-Temporal Prediction of High-Catch Fishing Grounds for Chub Mackerel (<i>Scomber japonicus</i>) Based on Deep Forest and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) of Environmental Contributions. [PDF]
Zhang L +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Tail Risk Transmission in Agricultural and Energy Markets
ABSTRACT This paper examines downside hedging, tail diversification, and extreme tail risk transmission between crude oil and agricultural commodity futures over two decades. We develop complementary indicators of downside dependence, including sign‐switching frequency and persistence, to assess tail risk dynamics, hedging effectiveness, and associated
Emmanuel Senyo Fianu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Risk assessment of stock market manipulation through the fusion of multi-source textual and trading data: Evidence from China's A-share market. [PDF]
Luo Y, Zhang J, Zhang C, Ma Z.
europepmc +1 more source

