Results 191 to 200 of about 266,284 (255)
Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley +1 more source
The Role of Coincident Information in Real‐Time Business Cycle Forecasting
ABSTRACT Official NBER recession dates are announced with substantial delay. Therefore, real‐time forecasters cannot condition on the most recent business cycle states even though recessions and expansions are highly persistent. I study whether real‐time coincident releases can substitute for this missing information. At each monthly forecast origin, I
Visa Kuntze
wiley +1 more source
Nanocomposite‐coated banana leaf packaging enhances antimicrobial activity, reduces microbial growth, improves food preservation, extends shelf life, and provides a sustainable, biodegradable alternative to conventional packaging. ABSTRACT Banana leaf‐based packaging has been widely used for various traditional foods in Indonesia, contributing to the ...
Ata Aditya Wardana +13 more
wiley +1 more source
ABSTRACT This paper uses GARCH‐MIDAS to predict US natural gas futures volatility using national and state‐level Climate Concern Indexes (CCIs). We find that both national and state‐level CCIs positively affect price volatility. Notably, models using state‐level data—specifically those utilizing least‐squares (LS) weighting combinations—surpass the ...
Afees A. Salisu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Practice adoption in MNCS: A multi‐level interactionist model of trait activation
Abstract Research Summary Sharing knowledge through organizational practices is an important source of advantage for multinational corporations (MNCs). While prior research on practice adoption by subsidiaries of MNCs has identified several individual and organizational factors, this study examines their interplay in the context of HQ‐mandated ...
Sven Kunisch +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Climate Change Laws and European Stock Markets: An Event Analysis
ABSTRACT Under the context of the climate change we assess the impact of EU's legislative initiative on European stock markets. Specifically, we focus on its impact on energy and Environmental Social Governance (ESG) sectors for equity returns and volatility for a representative basket of EU countries (participating also in Eurozone) as well as ...
Theodoros Bratis +2 more
wiley +1 more source
ESG Performance and Credit Risk: Evidence From Chinese Manufacturing Companies
ABSTRACT This study investigates the effect of corporate environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance on credit risk using a sample of manufacturing firms listed on China's Shanghai and Shenzhen A‐share markets from 2009 to 2021. Employing fixed effects, the generalised method of moments, and instrumental variable models, we find that ...
Yanan Wang +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Interplay Between Green Investment and Market Price Premia in Global Shipping
ABSTRACT Existing research emphasises that the driver of green investment is its future profitability. This paper shows that other investors' decisions also influence green investment. We take the example of scrubber installation in shipping, which is optional by regulation but has an established market for trading its underlying asset.
Yao Shi +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Diversifying Environmental, Social and Governance Portfolios: Evidence From China
ABSTRACT This study extends traditional portfolio optimization methods by incorporating Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) performance measures into diversification strategies, specifically focusing on data from the Chinese stock market. By integrating ESG scores and their constituent components (E, S and G), the study examines portfolio ...
Danyang Li +3 more
wiley +1 more source

