Results 181 to 190 of about 15,446 (261)

The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley   +1 more source

Polymer Brush-Enhanced Extraction and Spreading of Oil from Lubricating Greases. [PDF]

Tribol Lett
Buonaiuto L, Siekman V, Reuvekamp S, Lugt PM, Mugele F.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant, Matus Mrazik, Steve Satchell   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Microstructure Evolution of Ni₃Al-Based Intermetallic Alloy Strips After Hot Rolling. [PDF]

Materials (Basel)
Jóźwik P, Polkowski W, Panas AJ, Bojar Z.   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley   +1 more source

Neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage and school stock inhaler utilization in a statewide program. [PDF]

Front Public Health
Reyes SM, Knitter A, Wan W, Gerald LB, Hardy PL, Pappalardo AA, Salem E, Weigley S, Volerman A.   +8 more
europepmc   +1 more source

The Role of Coincident Information in Real‐Time Business Cycle Forecasting

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Official NBER recession dates are announced with substantial delay. Therefore, real‐time forecasters cannot condition on the most recent business cycle states even though recessions and expansions are highly persistent. I study whether real‐time coincident releases can substitute for this missing information. At each monthly forecast origin, I
Visa Kuntze
wiley   +1 more source

ATP is dispensable for E. coli DNA replication and eukaryotic helicase activity. [PDF]

Nat Commun
Spinks RR, Lakic A, Kelso C, Jergic S, Yurieva O, Xu ZQ, O'Donnell ME, Dixon NE, van Oijen AM, Lewis JS, Spenkelink LM.   +10 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Predicting EU Emissions Allowance Prices Using Macroeconomic Indicators and Hybrid AI Models

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Predicting carbon allowance prices has grown more crucial in relation to carbon market regulation, financial strategy, and environmental policy development. This study examines a hybrid forecasting system that combines deep learning with ensemble machine learning models to forecast the price fluctuations of EU Emissions Allowance (EUAs) within
Saptarshi Ganguly, Pooja Sengupta, Divya Aggarwal   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source