Results 171 to 180 of about 15,446 (261)

Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley   +1 more source

Spatiotemporal Fusion for Stock Prediction via Hypergraph Attention Gated Recurrent Units. [PDF]

Entropy (Basel)
Cao X, Qian C, Huang H.
europepmc   +1 more source

Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis, Dimitrios Bakas, Theodora Bermpei, Athanasios Triantafyllou   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Transient Transfection of Rolling-Circle Amplified DNA in Biomanufacturing-Relevant Mammalian Cell Lines: A Comparison of Transfection Conditions for Optimal Protein Expression. [PDF]

Biotechnol Appl Biochem
Loghin E, Kvam E, Lowery L, Hudson N, Keen J, Davis B, Dodd RB, Surrette C, Nelson J.   +8 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Global Insights Into Term Spreads: Unveiling Their Predictive Power During Unconventional Monetary Policy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study investigates the predictive power of the term spread for forecasting economic activity across both conventional and unconventional monetary policy regimes. Utilizing data from 22 OECD countries spanning the period from 1985Q1 to 2024Q2, the analysis reveals that the term spread generally maintains its ability to predict GDP growth ...
Petri Kuosmanen, Juuso Vataja
wiley   +1 more source

Development and justification of technical solutions for the design of a long-base flat car for the transportation of high-capacity containers. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Rahimov R, Zafarov D, Khurmatov Y.
europepmc   +1 more source

Lost in Translation? Risk‐Adjusting RMSE for Economic Forecast Performance

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT When used for parameter optimization and/or model selection, traditional mean squared error (MSE)–based measures of forecast accuracy often exhibit a weak or even negative correlation with the economic value of return forecasts measured by, for example, the Sharpe ratios of the resulting portfolios.
Lukas Salcher, Sebastian Stöckl, Michael Hanke   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Dynamic interdependence between consumer confidence and housing prices: Evidence from bootstrap rolling window causality tests. [PDF]

PLoS One
Guan Y, Su C, Wang Y.
europepmc   +1 more source

Exploring the Nexus Between Sustainability Index and Central European Stock Markets Competitiveness: Evidence Through Time–Frequency Analysis and SHAP

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková, Dipak Kumar Jana, Michal Páleš, Elena Fleaca, Petr Dostál   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Strategic Risk Based Forecasting of Brent Crude Oil Prices: A Comparative Analysis of Econometric and Machine Learning Models. [PDF]

Entropy (Basel)
Yılmaz TE, Zehir C.
europepmc   +1 more source