ABSTRACT Environment‐recruitment relationships often break down over time. This can occur because of spurious results from testing numerous environmental variables in the original analyses or from relative changes in the importance of specific environmental drivers over time.
Hannah M. Murphy +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Structural Compactness of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Seeds in Historical and Projected Climates
Abstract We examine how the structural compactness of North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) seeds responds to warming in ERA5 reanalysis and CAM5 simulations. In ERA5, comparing 1985–1999 with 2000–2014, developing seeds in the later, warmer period become slightly more compact and exhibit stronger mid‐level ascent and low‐level convergence, whereas non ...
Kuan‐Yu Lu, Kevin A. Reed
wiley +1 more source
Abstract Coastal decadal sea level anomalies (SLAs) in the U.S. east coast (USEC) play a critical role in modulating coastal flooding frequency, yet relative influences of tropical versus extratropical climate modes over the North Atlantic remain unresolved.
Yingli Zhu +8 more
wiley +1 more source
Extreme Atmospheric Moistening and Drying Events at Ny‐Ålesund and Their Relation to Weather Systems
Abstract Understanding the role of water vapor in Arctic amplification requires a detailed evaluation of its spatio‐temporal variability. In this work, we use an integrated water vapor (IWV) data set from a ground‐based microwave radiometer at Ny‐Ålesund, Svalbard, covering 2012–2024, to characterize temporal IWV variability.
Christian Buhren +6 more
wiley +1 more source
Existence of eigenvalues of a linear operator pencil in a curved waveguide - localized shelf waves on a curved coast [PDF]
The question of the existence of nonpropagating, trapped continental shelf waves (CSWs) along curved coasts reduces mathematically to a spectral problem for a self-adjoint operator pencil in a curved strip.
Johnson, E R +7 more
core +1 more source
Process-oriented evaluation of quasi-stationary Rossby waves and their impact on surface air temperature extremes in dynamical downscaling over North America [PDF]
Quasi-stationary Rossby waves are a crucial component of the general circulation and play a significant role in regional water and energy cycles, as well as in extreme events.
K. Sakaguchi +7 more
doaj +1 more source
Indian Ocean Convection Modulates the Early‐Winter Pacific‐North American Response to El Niño
Abstract The El Niño‐Southern Oscillation is a dominant driver of Pacific‐North American (PNA) variability on seasonal‐to‐interannual timescales through its influence on tropical Pacific convection. However, the early‐winter PNA response exhibits pronounced event‐to‐event diversity during El Niño.
Xu Teng, Wenjun Zhang, Suqiong Hu
wiley +1 more source
A route to systematic error in forecasts of Rossby waves [PDF]
Recent work has shown that both the amplitude of upper-level Rossby waves and the tropopause sharpness decrease with forecast lead time for several days in some operational weather forecast systems.
Gray, S. L. +8 more
core +2 more sources
Predictability of midlatitude Rossby‐wave packets
Abstract Rossby‐wave packets (RWPs) along the midlatitude jet are a fundamental ingredient of extratropical dynamics. RWPs have been linked to enhanced atmospheric predictability and the occurrence of extreme weather events. We here investigate the predictability of Northern Hemispheric RWPs as physical entities, defined by enhanced ...
Isabelle Prestel-Kupferer +3 more
openaire +3 more sources
Future Mediterranean Summer Drying Across Models: Opposing Dynamic and Thermodynamic Constraints
Abstract Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models project drier Mediterranean summers under global warming, yet exhibit substantial inter‐model spread. Notably, models with stronger global‐mean warming produce little additional drying.
Linqiang He +2 more
wiley +1 more source

