Results 171 to 180 of about 27,929 (280)

The non‐hydrostatic option of the ECMWF global weather forecast model: Improvements for kilometre‐scale modelling

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study presents improvements to the non‐hydrostatic version of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), enabling stable global simulations at 1.4‐km resolution. A systematic comparison with the hydrostatic version at resolutions from 9 to 1.4 km shows that non‐hydrostatic effects emerge in ...
Jozef Vivoda   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Seasonal affective disorder [PDF]

open access: yesBritish Journal of Psychiatry, 1994
C. Thompson   +3 more
openaire   +4 more sources

A new smoother method for treating different timescales in variational data assimilation for coupled systems

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We propose a new method for treating different timescales in coupled variational data assimilation for atmosphere–ocean models. The approach involves a series of short‐window coupled assimilations (red arrows in the schematic) followed by a long‐window correction to the ocean fields (blue arrow).
Amos S. Lawless   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Towards operational assimilation of surface‐sensitive microwave radiances over land at Environment and Climate Change Canada: Investigation of key factors using a 1D‐EnVar framework

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The study evaluates five factors affecting the assimilation of surface‐sensitive Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit‐A (AMSU‐A) radiances over land, including the simultaneous estimation of surface emissivity and the standard set of state variables, to improve numerical weather prediction (NWP) at Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC).
Zheng Qi Wang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

An opportunity index to anticipate when subseasonal predictions are useful

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Simultaneously active subseasonal windows of forecast opportunity can be combined into a single opportunity index, which can be used operationally to anticipate enhanced or reduced subseasonal prediction skill. For predictions of temperature anomalies in Switzerland during summer—a region and season with particularly low predictability—skill can nearly
Dominik Büeler   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Are we misdiagnosing ensemble forecast reliability? On the insufficiency of spread–error and rank‐based reliability metrics

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We demonstrate that the spread–error relationship, rank histogram, and continuous rank probability score reliability component can falsely indicate reliability under climatological variance biases, yielding ensemble members that are overly or insufficiently extreme.
Arlan Dirkson, Mark Buehner
wiley   +1 more source

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