Results 101 to 110 of about 941,174 (293)
Automatic forecasting with a modified exponential smoothing state space framework [PDF]
A new automatic forecasting procedure is proposed based on a recent exponential smoothing framework which incorporates a Box-Cox transformation and ARMA residual corrections.
Alysha M De Livera
core
Cost Pass‐Through in Crisis: Evidence From the German Malt‐Beer Supply Chain
Agribusiness, EarlyView.Abstract Global agri‐food supply chains are increasingly exposed to geopolitical shocks, climate volatility, and market consolidation, factors that disrupt traditional price relationships and reshape market power dynamics. Nowhere is this more visible than in the brewing sector, where agricultural raw materials meet complex industrial processing and ...
Nikolas Bublik, Lukáš Čechura
wiley +1 more source
Food Prices and Inflation Expectations in New Zealand
Agribusiness, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Food prices are conspicuous, and spending on food constitutes a considerable share of household expenditure. In this study, we use partially identified Bayesian structural vector autoregression models to analyze the effects of food price shocks on core inflation and 1‐ and 5‐year inflation expectations in New Zealand.
Puneet Vatsa +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Retrospective Study on the Seasonal Forecast-Based Disease Intervention of the Wheat Blast Outbreaks in Bangladesh. [PDF]
Front Plant Sci, 2020 Kim KH, Choi ED.
europepmc +1 more source
Damped Seasonality Factors: Introduction [PDF]
Previous research has shown that seasonal factors provide one of the most important ways to improve forecast accuracy. For example, in forecasts over an 18-month horizon for 68 monthly economic series from the M-Competition, Makridakis et al.
J. S. Armstrong
core
The economic value of seasonal forecasts
Exchanges, 1998 The decision model analysis show that the economic value of seasonal forecasts is strongly dependent on the cost to the user of taking precautionary action against the event considered.
openaire
Does Participating in Agricultural Global Value Chains Promote Agricultural Growth?
Agribusiness, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study examines the relationship between GVC participation and agricultural value‐added growth in 43 countries over the period 1995–2022. In contrast to prior literature, we disaggregate the agricultural sector into four sub‐sectors namely crop cultivation, animal production, forestry and fishing.
Taner Turan +2 more
wiley +1 more source
When the River Runs Low: Heterogeneous Impacts of Transportation Disruptions on Local Grain Basis
Agribusiness, EarlyView.ABSTRACT A substantial share of U.S. soybean and corn exports from the Midwest moves by barge along the Mississippi River system to export terminals in the Louisiana Gulf. Transportation costs between Midwestern grain elevators and export terminals create a wedge between prices at these locations, and shocks to these costs are partially passed on to ...
Yuan Zhang +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Seasonal cointegration and the stability of the demand for money [PDF]
Studies on money demand in both developed and developing countries coincide in reporting systematic over predictions of monetary aggregates, non-robust estimated parameters and out-of-sample forecast variances that are too large to guide monetary policy.
Raimundo Soto, Matías Tapia
core
Agribusiness, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Drought is among the most severe and persistent threats to food supply chains, and relocating production to less drought‐prone regions offers a strategy to reduce this risk. This is particularly relevant for fresh vegetables, which are highly water‐intensive, yet drought‐driven reconfiguration strategies remain understudied.
Bingyan Dai +2 more
wiley +1 more source