Results 121 to 130 of about 941,174 (293)
Forecasting Inflation in Mexico Using Factor Models: Do Disaggregated CPI Data Improve Forecast Accuracy? [PDF]
In this paper we apply a dynamic factor model to generate out of sample forecasts for the inflation rate in Mexico. We evaluate the role of using a wide range of macroeconomic variables with particular interest on the importance of using CPI ...
Raúl Ibarra-Ramírez
core
Domestic and External Drivers of Brazilian Pork Price Volatility Under Russian Trade Policies
Agribusiness, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study investigates how Russian trade policies and domestic factors influence the volatility of Brazilian live swine prices from 2004 to 2019. We employ a DCC‐MGARCH framework, along with volatility impulse‐response functions and the connectedness approach, to analyze time‐varying co‐movement and dynamic volatility spillovers across pork ...
Gabriel Rosero +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction of dry and wet extremes for climate adaptation in India
Climate ServicesExtreme climatic events have considerable impacts on society, and their prediction is an essential tool for climate change adaptation. A reliable forecast of dry and wet extremes is crucial for developing an early warning system and decision-making in ...
Iqura Malik, Vimal Mishra
doaj +1 more source
Seasonality, Forecast Extensions and Business Cycle Uncertainty [PDF]
Seasonality is one of the most important features of economic time series. The possibility to abstract from seasonality for the assessment of economic conditions is a widely debated issue.
Proietti, Tommaso
core
Annals of Gastroenterological Surgery, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Aim In Japan, the National Clinical Database (NCD), a clinician‐reported registry, and the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan Open Data (NDB Open Data), an administrative claims database, are both widely used as nationwide surgical databases, but their consistency in capturing national surgical ...
Atomu Kiriyama +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Seasonal forecast: Model RCM-SEEVCCC
Seasonal forecast is based on dynamical downscaling of ECMWF seasonal forecast, using a regional atmosphere-ocean coupled model (RCM-SEEVCCC). The forecast consists of 41 ensemble members and is issued once per month between 15th and 20th of a current ...
core
Model selection for forecast combination [PDF]
In this paper it is advocated to select a model only if it significantly contributes to the accuracy of a combined forecast. Using hold-out-data forecasts of individual models and of the combined forecast, a useful test for equal forecast accuracy can be
Franses, Ph.H.B.F.
core
Annals of Gastroenterological Surgery, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Aim This study investigated nationwide temporal trends, age‐specific changes, and seasonal variations in appendectomies in Japan using the national database of health insurance claims and specific health checkups (NDB). Methods Data on appendectomies (open [OA] and laparoscopic [LA]) were extracted from the 2018–2023 NDB Open Data.
Shutaro Sumiyoshi +9 more
wiley +1 more source
AIChE Journal, EarlyView.Abstract Thermophilic anaerobic digestion (AD) is an attractive process due to its higher biogas yield compared to mesophilic digestion. To mitigate its higher heating demand and potential process instability, a dual‐layer control architecture comprising a decision‐making layer and an adaptive model predictive control (MPC) system is proposed.
Ali Moradvandi +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Seasonal Rainfall Forecast (LRF01) - Model - Southern Africa
Seasonal Rainfall Forecast (normal, below normal and above normal).
core