Seasonal Adjustment Methods : An Application to the Turkish Monetary Aggregates [PDF]
Seasonality can be defined as a pattern of a time series, which repeats at regular intervals every year. Seasonal fluctuations in data make it difficult to analyse whether changes in data for a given period reflect important increases or decreases in the
Beyza Pinar Ural, Oguz Atuk
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Interpretable Short‐Term Electric Load Forecasting
A temporal fusion transformer is implemented to generate day‐ahead forecasts of the hourly electrical load of a departmentbuilding at an Italian university. A forecasting performance improvement of more than 25% compared with established benchmark models and a provision of inherent robust interpretability insights reveal the potential of this model for
Alessandro Nicola +6 more
wiley +1 more source
Behaviorally Adaptive and Inclusive Advanced Driver‐Assistance Systems
Advanced driver‐assistance systems (ADASs) are mapped as evolving human‐centered, adaptive technologies linking sensing, driver monitoring, AR/HUD interfaces, patents, regulation, and inclusive design. The review identifies gaps in real‐world evidence, diverse‐driver validation, gaze metrics, and governance, outlining a roadmap for safer, behaviorally ...
Jana Skirnewskaja +2 more
wiley +1 more source
AN EVALUATION OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THE FLORIDA COOPERATIVE'S SEASONAL PRICING PLAN ON SEASONAL PRODUCTION VARIABILITY [PDF]
From 1993 - 1995, Florida dairy cooperatives implemented a seasonal pricing plan in an attempt to decrease the variability in seasonal production. Farmers that participated in the seasonal pricing plan were able to reduce seasonality in each year when ...
Washington, Andrew A. +2 more
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Lost in aggregation? On the importance of local food price data for food poverty estimates
Abstract This paper explores within‐country variations in food price dynamics and food poverty estimates by employing local market price data and national consumer price index (CPI) data. Our results show that national CPI data may be useful for approximating national trends but they fail to detect and identify spatial variations in local trends, which
Stephan Dietrich +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Seasonal Time Series and Autocorrelation Function Estimation [PDF]
Time series are demeaned when sample autocorrelation functions are computed. By the same logic it would seem appealing to remove seasonal means from seasonal time series before computing sample autocorrelation functions. Yet, standard practice is only to
William R. Bell +2 more
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Climate change and perennial crop production: Evidence of yield impact and adaptation in California
Abstract Perennial crops are economically important. They contribute to food security, providing essential nutrients that are often lacking in annual crops, and provide additional environmental benefits compared with annual crops. Despite their importance, empirical research on the impacts of climate change and adaptation on perennial crops remains ...
Yuanyuan Wen +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Food insecurity and unemployment among immigrants in the United States
Abstract Immigrants can be more vulnerable to economic downturns and, during periods of economic hardship, more likely to experience food insecurity compared to natives. This study examines the differential effect of the unemployment rate on the probability of being food insecure among diverse groups of immigrant households relative to natives in the ...
Siwen Zhou +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Descriptive Seasonal Adjustment by Minimizing Perturbations [PDF]
The seasonal adjustment method proposed by Schlicht (1981) can be viewed as a method that minimizes non-stochastic deviations (perturbations). This interpretation gives rise to a critique of the seasonality criterion used there.
Schlicht, Ekkehart, Pauly, Ralf
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Improving access to new technologies: An experiment with Kenyan input sellers
Abstract Agrodealers play a critical role in rural economies, selling essential inputs for agricultural production, stocking new products, and providing farmers with technical advice. However, uncertainty can discourage them from stocking newer, less familiar products, limiting the availability of innovative technologies and leading to market failures ...
Sarah W. Kariuki +6 more
wiley +1 more source

